Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski Odra (Opole)

Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Odra Opole		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.4
	2.8	3.2	2.35
	2.9	3.2	2.4	Watch
	3.11	3.2	2.45
	2.94	3.03	2.53	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	2.91	3.13	2.41	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.65)	3.15 ↑ (3.11)	2.41 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odra Opole
32.1%

Draw
29.4%

Wisła Płock
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

31.4%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odra Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wisła Płock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Odra Opole - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Odra Opole will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Haluch A. (G) 17. Bartosz J. 2. Zemlo P. (C) 3. Piroch J. 24. Szrek J. 13. Purzycki A. 8. Dominiguez J. 9. Muratovic E. 7. Lyszczarz A. 10. Banaszewski M. 20. Zawada O.	33. Gostomski M. (G) 5. Nastic B. 44. Haglind-Sangre M. 77. Szymanski J. 16. Hiszpanski F. 8. Pacheco D. 14. Kun D. 18. Jimenez J. 9. Kocyla D. 37. Tomczyk O. 20. Sekulski L. (C)
Substitutes
47. Blyszko W. 1. Burta J. (G) 35. Mroz P. 5. Niziolek R. 94. Nowak K. 33. Osipiak M. 28. Pikk A. 14. Sikorski S. 16. Wolny D.	19. Edmundsson A. 11. Famulak M. 99. Gradecki B. (G) 22. Krawczyk P. 3. Kukulka K. 17. Misiak P. 24. Niepsuj D. 6. Pomorski K. 66. Salvador I.
Coaches
Sobolewski R.	Misiura M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Jimenez J. ⚽,
10', Piroch J. 🟨,
16', 0 - 2, Jimenez J. ⚽, Sekulski L. (A),
18', 1 - 2, Muratovic E. ⚽, Zawada O. (A),
20', Sekulski L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Lyszczarz A. ↓, Osipiak M. ↑,
58', Bartosz J. ↓, Pikk A. ↑,
58', Zawada O. ↓, Nowak K. ↑,
67', Kocyla D. ↓, Krawczyk P. ↑,
71', Dominiguez J. ↓, Wolny D. ↑,
77', Jimenez J. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
77', Tomczyk O. ↓, Kukulka K. ↑,
81', Purzycki A. ↓, Niziolek R. ↑,
85', Hiszpanski F. ↓, Niepsuj D. ↑,
85', Sekulski L. ↓, Salvador I. ↑,
90', Salvador I. 🟨,

Preview

Odra Opole is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wisła Płock is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wisła Płock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wisła Płock have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Odra Opole won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Odra Opole won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
04.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Odra Opole	3:0 ✺
28.07.24	Odra Opole - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1 ✺
19.07.24	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.24	Ślęza Wrocław - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	GKS Katowice - Odra Opole	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLTL
- Wisła Płock
Polish Division 1
03.08.24	Wisła Płock - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Warta Poznań - Wisła Płock	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Wisła Płock - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Wisła Płock - Unia Skierniewice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
12.05.24	Odra Opole - Wisła Płock	3:0
11.11.23	Wisła Płock - Odra Opole	2:0
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Odra Opole - Wisła Płock	0:1

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