Match Info

Virsliga - Round 15

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija (Ogre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus


	Ogre United		Grobiņa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.25	1.98	Watch
	3.78	3.43	2.02
	3.58	3.52	1.97	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.54	3.24	1.96	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.94)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	2.03 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ogre United
26.5%

Draw
28.1%

Grobiņa
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.3%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ogre United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grobiņa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ogre United - Grobiņa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parfjonovs N. (G) 6. Vejkrigers D. 37. Lormanis M. 77. Marusii M. 3. Marusiy T. 8. Mickevics T. 17. Mashchenko V. 21. Ivulans M. 19. Cudars K. (C) 10. Kalnins M. 9. Silagailis H.	1. Kudrjavcevs V. (G) 7. Krautmanis J. 3. Druzinins D. (C) 27. Baravykas R. 2. Rupeiks K. 29. Matyushenko I. 32. Kluskins G. 14. Sidorovs M. 10. Dobrecovs D. 11. Rascevskis O. 99. Puzirevskis A.
Substitutes
14. Aditajs R. 20. Biscuhis K. (G) 18. Evelons E. 47. Johnson K. 7. Kumakura K. 11. Pacepko M. 28. Sedols D. 23. Sprukts E. 2. Ziemelis R.	13. Aruna A. 17. Bethers R. 23. Fjodorovs M. 19. Gaucis R. 8. Olatunde-Matthew O. 12. Pincuks N. (G) 87. Ribeiro J. 25. Sirbu D. 20. Yamada H.
Coaches
Putnins K.	Klava O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Matyushenko I. 🟨,
5', Mashchenko V. ↓, Johnson K. ↑,
20', Rupeiks K. 🟨,
23', Johnson K. 🟨,
25', Silagailis H. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Johnson K. ⚽, Cudars K. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Baravykas R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Silagailis H. 🟨,
49', Vejkrigers D. 🟨,
61', Kalnins M. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
62', Johnson K. ↓, Aditajs R. ↑,
65', Dobrecovs D. ↓, Aruna A. ↑,
79', Puzirevskis A. ↓, Sirbu D. ↑,
81', Ivulans M. ↓, Ziemelis R. ↑,
82', Cudars K. 🟨,
82', Putnins K. 🟨,
88', Sidorovs M. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
90+2', Druzinins D. 🟨,
90+3', Marusii M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).

Ogre United is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Grobiņa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Ogre United has had a series of away games.

Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of home games.

Grobiņa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ogre United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Ogre United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Grobina	31	5	11	15	21:52	-31	26
10	Ogre United	31	4	6	21	30:76	-46	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ogre United
Latvian Virsliga
21.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Super Nova - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
12.05.26	Liepāja - Ogre United	4:1 ✺
07.05.26	Tukums 2000 - Ogre United	6:1 ✺
02.05.26	Ogre United - RFS	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Grobiņas SC
Latvian Virsliga
20.05.26	Grobiņa - Super Nova	0:2 ✺
15.05.26	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	3:3 ✺
11.05.26	Grobiņa - Jelgava	0:0 ✺
07.05.26	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	7:0 ✺
02.05.26	Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
13.04.26	Ogre United - Grobiņa	1:1

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