Match Info

Virsliga - Round 30

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Jana Skredela stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Super Nova		Tukums 2000

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.25	2.75
	2.22	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.27	3.6	2.85
	2.25	3.63	2.86	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.7
	2.22	3.42	2.79	Watch
	2.21	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.43)	3.43 ↑ (3.2)	2.8 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Super Nova
40.9%

Draw
26.6%

Tukums 2000
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.3%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Super Nova - Tukums 2000 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Super Nova will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Veisbuks D. (G) 5. Cirulis J. 25. Oss M. (C) 16. Romanovs K. 3. Iida R. 9. Bamba 8. Patrikejevs I. 6. Emsis E. 15. Kirss R. 22. Skadmanis K. 10. Lizunovs V.	1. Vilkovs S. (G) 16. Klavins K. 6. Volkovs K. 21. Valmiers D. 8. Reingolcs R. 17. Derkach M. 10. Samoilovs B. (C) 5. Toba J. 4. Anmanis Kaspars 11. Leoni 27. Deruzinskis R.
Substitutes
2. Augusts K. 29. Baghdasaryan A. 17. Bombans G. 7. Glaudans A. 20. Ndiaye I. 27. Pathe N. 31. Petrovics T. (G) 21. Tihonovics M. 18. Vasilevskis M.	23. Atligins I. 25. Joksts H. 12. Kuprins A. (G) 28. Melkis R. 19. Radzenieks D. 29. Shigema K. 88. Stals M. 30. Susts M.
Coaches
Rafalskis M.	Dislers K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Kirss R. ↓, Bombans G. ↑,
61', Skadmanis K. ↓, Glaudans A. ↑,
62', Derkach M. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
69', Bamba ↓, Pathe N. ↑,
73', Valmiers D. ↓, Stals M. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Romanovs K. ⚽,
81', Anmanis Kaspars ↓, Shigema K. ↑,
81', Leoni ↓, Radzenieks D. ↑,
88', Reingolcs R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Super Nova could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	29:40	-11	35
9	Tukums 2000	31	5	9	17	44:61	-17	24

Last Results with these Odds

Tukums 2000 - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Super Nova FC
Latvian Virsliga
05.09.26	Jelgava - Super Nova	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Auda Riga - Super Nova	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils	0:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
16.08.26	Super Nova - RFS	0:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
09.08.26	Super Nova - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTTLL
- Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga
05.09.26	Tukums 2000 - Ogre United	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tukums 2000 - Jelgava	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	Auda Riga - Tukums 2000	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Tukums 2000 - Liepāja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Cup
11.07.26	Tukums 2000 - Super Nova	1:2
Latvian Virsliga
01.07.26	Tukums 2000 - Super Nova	1:2
11.05.26	Super Nova - Tukums 2000	1:1
22.03.26	Tukums 2000 - Super Nova	1:2
28.09.25	Tukums 2000 - Super Nova	2:1
06.07.25	Super Nova - Tukums 2000	1:0
16.05.25	Super Nova - Tukums 2000	1:1

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