Match Info

Virsliga - Round 27

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija (Ogre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ogre United		Jelgava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.60	3.50	1.77
	3.35	3.40	1.91	Watch
	4.06	4.30	1.76
	3.5	4.09	1.85	Watch
	3.75	4.25	1.73
	4.08	3.98	1.74	Watch
	3.65	3.55	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.66)	3.87 ↑ (3.52)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ogre United
24.8%

Draw
23.8%

Jelgava
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

25.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

24.5%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ogre United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Ogre United - Jelgava Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jelgava will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parfjonovs N. (G) 6. Vejkrigers D. 3. Marusiy T. 55. Kudelkins A. 77. Marusii M. 7. Pulis I. 30. Doroshenko A. 19. Cudars K. (C) 10. Kalnins M. 71. Marchuk A. 22. Estevez Fernandez L.	1. Dvorak A. (C) 4. Kangars A. 27. Alekseiciks K. 3. Semesko M. 13. Novikovs J. 8. Melkis R. 11. Hasek M. 22. Pudil M. 9. Becers R. 24. Hasek F. 17. Rataj T.
Substitutes
20. Biscuhis K. (G) 18. Evelons E. 9. Fokam J. 91. Grinbergs J. 21. Ivulans M. 37. Lormanis M. 17. Mashchenko V. 5. Sibass R. 2. Ziemelis R.	28. Deklavs A. 23. Dreimanis A. 21. Kacanovs G. 16. Leitis T. (G) 20. Patika G. 19. Petersons A. 18. Smaukstelis E. 29. Zaleiko G.
Coaches
Mazurs V.	Basovs A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Hasek M. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Cudars K. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Parfjonovs N. 🟨,
34', Rataj T. 🟨,
43', Alekseiciks K. 🟨,
45', Marusii M. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Kalnins M. ⚽, Parfjonovs N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', Hasek M. 🟨,
63', Marchuk A. ↓, Ziemelis R. ↑,
65', Rataj T. ↓, Patika G. ↑,
65', Becers R. ↓, Zaleiko G. ↑,
74', Vejkrigers D. ↓, Grinbergs J. ↑,
74', Pulis I. ↓, Fokam J. ↑,
79', Hasek F. ↓, Smaukstelis E. ↑,
79', Pudil M. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
85', Kalnins M. ↓, Ivulans M. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Hasek M. ⚽, Alekseiciks K. (A),
88', 2 - 3, Kangars A. ⚽, Zaleiko G. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Liga and 7).

Ogre United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jelgava has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ogre United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ogre United has had a series of away games.

Jelgava will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ogre United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ogre United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jelgava	31	8	8	15	32:49	-17	32
10	Ogre United	31	4	6	21	30:76	-46	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ogre United
Latvian Cup
14.08.26	BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
09.08.26	Riga - Ogre United	4:1 ✺
27.07.26	Grobiņa - Ogre United	2:2 ✺
19.07.26	Ogre United - BFC Daugavpils	0:4 ✺
Latvian Cup
12.07.26	Valmiera - Ogre United	2:4 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLTLW
- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
09.08.26	Jelgava - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Jelgava - Liepāja	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Jelgava - RFS	0:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
12.07.26	RFS - Jelgava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
17.06.26	Jelgava - Ogre United	0:2
27.04.26	Ogre United - Jelgava	0:1

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