Match Info

Virsliga - Round 29

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs (Jelgava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Jelgava		Super Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.50	3.60
	1.90	3.30	3.45	Watch
	1.85	3.71	4.01
	1.86	3.69	3.85	Watch
	1.81	3.65	3.95
	1.81	3.50	3.80
	1.81	3.45	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.95)	3.54 ↑ (3.35)	3.75 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelgava
49.8%

Draw
25.8%

Super Nova
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Jelgava - Super Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dvorak A. (C) 13. Novikovs J. 4. Kangars A. 27. Alekseiciks K. 3. Semesko M. 22. Pudil M. 29. Zaleiko G. 11. Hasek M. 8. Melkis R. 24. Hasek F. 17. Rataj T.	90. Veisbuks D. (G) 5. Cirulis J. 25. Oss M. (C) 16. Romanovs K. 3. Iida R. 9. Bamba 8. Patrikejevs I. 24. Sitjakovs R. 15. Kirss R. 6. Emsis E. 10. Lizunovs V.
Substitutes
9. Becers R. 28. Deklavs A. 23. Dreimanis A. 21. Kacanovs G. 16. Leitis T. (G) 20. Patika G. 19. Petersons A. 18. Smaukstelis E.	2. Augusts K. 29. Baghdasaryan A. 17. Bombans G. 7. Glaudans A. 27. Pathe N. 31. Petrovics T. (G) 22. Skadmanis K. 21. Tihonovics M. 18. Vasilevskis M.
Coaches
Basovs A.	Rafalskis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', Bamba ↓, Bombans G. ↑,
69', Hasek F. ↓, Petersons A. ↑,
69', Novikovs J. ↓, Patika G. ↑,
70', Hasek M. 🟨,
76', Lizunovs V. 🟨,
78', Kirss R. ↓, Glaudans A. ↑,
81', Sitjakovs R. 🟨,
84', 0 - 1, Glaudans A. ⚽, Emsis E. (A),
90', Melkis R. ↓, Becers R. ↑,
90', Rataj T. ↓, Dreimanis A. ↑,
90+1', Emsis E. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
90+1', Lizunovs V. ↓, Pathe N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Super Nova has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jelgava is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Jelgava won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jelgava won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Super Nova	30	10	5	15	29:40	-11	35
7	Jelgava	31	8	8	15	32:49	-17	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
29.08.26	Tukums 2000 - Jelgava	1:4 ✺
22.08.26	Ogre United - Jelgava	2:3 ✺
09.08.26	Jelgava - Auda Riga	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	BFC Daugavpils - Jelgava	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Jelgava - Liepāja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL
- Super Nova FC
Latvian Virsliga
29.08.26	Auda Riga - Super Nova	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils	0:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
16.08.26	Super Nova - RFS	0:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
09.08.26	Super Nova - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
20.07.26	Super Nova - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
25.06.26	Super Nova - Jelgava	1:5
06.05.26	Jelgava - Super Nova	1:0
15.03.26	Super Nova - Jelgava	1:1
04.10.25	Super Nova - Jelgava	1:1
20.07.25	Jelgava - Super Nova	1:0
21.05.25	Super Nova - Jelgava	0:0
05.04.25	Jelgava - Super Nova	2:1

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