Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)

Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Okzhetpes		Kairat

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.80	3.50	1.75
	3.50	3.30	1.83	Watch
	3.93	3.71	1.83
	4.18	3.65	1.74	Watch
	3.55	3.65	1.81
	4.19	3.67	1.79
	3.85	3.55	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.27)	3.58 ↑ (3.54)	1.79 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
23.6%

Draw
25.5%

Kairat
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

25.9%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

26.5%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Okzhetpes - Kairat Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. 8. Buribaev N. 9. Borodin D. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 47. Vasiljev V. 19. Omirtaev O. (C) 91. Abdumannonov B.	1. Anarbekov T. (G) 24. Mrynskiy A. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 3. Mata L. 18. Glazer D. 13. Oksanen J. 11. Zeballos S. 7. Jorginho 19. Jukkola O. 28. Gual M.
Substitutes
67. Atykhanov R. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 14. Mukanov S. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 90. Sadovski U. (. 16. Shamshi B. 17. Umarov S. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. 4. Zyabko V.	8. Baybek O. 81. Bekbolat I. 15. Birkurmanov M. 9. Edmilson 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 6. Sadybekov A. 25. Shirobokov A. 20. Tapalov E. 17. Tuyakbaev A.
Coaches
Alyuetov R.	Urazbakhtin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Lucas Africo 🟨,
11', Jorginho 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Jukkola O. ⚽, Gual M. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Abdumannonov B. ⚽, Buribaev N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 2, Lucas Africo ⚽,
59', Lototskyi B. 🟨,
62', Buribaev N. ↓, Umarov S. ↑,
63', Sovpel V. ↓, Mukanov S. ↑,
63', Glazer D. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
64', Jukkola O. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
72', Omirtaev O. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
72', Abdumannonov B. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
82', Mukhametkhanov Z. 🟨,
89', Gual M. ↓, Bekbolat I. ↑,
90+3', Edmilson 🟨,
90+4', Mrynskiy A. ↓, Shirobokov A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Edmilson ⚽, Bekbolat I. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 1.

Okzhetpes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Okzhetpes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kairat is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:52. (average 1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
21.06.26	Okzhetpes - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Zhetysu - Okzhetpes	2:2 ✺
28.05.26	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	2:2 ✺
22.05.26	Altai Semey - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Okzhetpes - Astana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTWW
- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
21.06.26	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	2:4 ✺
17.06.26	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Kairat - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
28.05.26	Ordabasy - Kairat	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Kairat - Kaisar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
31.08.25	Okzhetpes - Kairat	0:1
24.05.25	Kairat - Okzhetpes	1:2
15.07.23	Okzhetpes - Kairat	0:1
03.06.23	Kairat - Okzhetpes	2:1
27.09.20	Okzhetpes - Kairat	3:3
11.03.20	Kairat - Okzhetpes	5:0
25.08.19	Kairat - Okzhetpes	0:1

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