Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Koblandy Batyr Stadium (Aktobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Aktobe		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.40	3.60
	1.79	3.35	3.55	Watch
	1.82	3.89	3.88
	2.08	3.09	3.53	Watch
	1.81	3.80	3.40
	1.79	3.63	4.25
	1.84	3.60	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.18)	3.54 ↑ (3.26)	3.69 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
49.4%

Draw
25.8%

Okzhetpes
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aktobe's performance.

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aktobe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Aktobe - Okzhetpes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Okzhetpes will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Aktobe (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 23. Erlanov T. 6. Atanasov J. 18. Ordets I. 31. Tanzharikov A. 20. Zhukov G. 77. Zaria G. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 14. Pibe 7. Sosah D. 11. Shushenachev A.	22. Lobantsev M. (G) 14. Mukanov S. 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 9. Borodin D. 25. Marcinho 47. Vasiljev V. 19. Omirtaev O. 17. Umarov S.
Substitutes
95. Aymbetov A. 5. Kairov B. 48. Kenzhegulov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 83. Korganbaev P. (G) 4. Kusyapov T. 13. Miangue S. 22. Seydakhmet E. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 57. Umaniyazov M.	91. Abdumannonov B. 8. Buribaev N. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 10. Nurgaliyev E. 90. Sadovski U. (. 77. Sovpel V. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T.
Coaches
Tarkovic S.	Alyuetov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Atanasov J. ⚽, Erlanov T. (A),
10', Marcinho 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Erlanov T. ⚽, Pibe (A),
40', Kuzmichev I. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Umarov S. ⚽, Mukhametkhanov Z. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Erlanov T. ↓, Kusyapov T. ↑,
51', Dosmagambetov T. 🟨,
57', Shushenachev A. 🟨,
61', Umarov S. ↓, Sadovski U. (. ↑,
62', Mukanov S. ↓, Sovpel V. ↑,
63', Zaria G. ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
67', Tanzharikov A. ↓, Kairov B. ↑,
67', Sosah D. ↓, Aymbetov A. ↑,
70', Marcinho ↓, Buribaev N. ↑,
78', Mukhametkhanov Z. 🟨,
78', Kuzmichev I. 🟨,
78', Pibe ↓, Miangue S. ↑,
82', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
83', Omirtaev O. ↓, Abdumannonov B. ↑,
90', Buribaev N. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aktobe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:28. (average 2.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42

Last Results with these Odds

Okzhetpes - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.58%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
19.07.26	Altai Semey - Aktobe	2:4 ✺
12.07.26	Astana - Aktobe	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Aktobe - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Zhetysu - Aktobe	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Aktobe - Astana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
18.07.26	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes	3:1 ✺
02.07.26	Kairat - Okzhetpes	5:0 ✺
27.06.26	Okzhetpes - Kairat	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Okzhetpes - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	2:2
17.08.25	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	2:1
17.05.25	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	1:3
22.10.23	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	1:1
09.03.23	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	5:1
20.10.19	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	1:2
27.07.19	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	4:0

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