Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kairat		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.27	5.00	8.00
	1.29	5.15	8.1
	1.38	4.99	6.8
	1.39	4.7	6.57	Watch
	1.34	4.9	6.3
	1.32	4.77	10.4
	1.32	4.9	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.42)	4.92 ↑ (4.15)	7.62 ↑ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kairat
69.2%

Draw
18.7%

Okzhetpes
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

22.2%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

21.6%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kairat - Okzhetpes Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kairat (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anarbekov T. (G) 20. Tapalov E. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 25. Shirobokov A. 3. Mata L. 18. Glazer D. 13. Oksanen J. 24. Mrynskiy A. 7. Jorginho 19. Jukkola O. 28. Gual M.	22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 77. Sovpel V. 8. Buribaev N. 9. Borodin D. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 47. Vasiljev V. 19. Omirtaev O. (C) 91. Abdumannonov B.
Substitutes
27. Abish M. 8. Baybek O. 81. Bekbolat I. 9. Edmilson 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 44. Lucas Africo 6. Sadybekov A. 17. Tuyakbaev A. 11. Zeballos S.	20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 14. Mukanov S. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 90. Sadovski U. (. 16. Shamshi B. 17. Umarov S. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Alyuetov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Gual M. ⚽, Tapalov E. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Gual M. ⚽, Mata L. (A),
42', 3 - 0, Jorginho ⚽, Mata L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sovpel V. ↓, Mukanov S. ↑,
46', Abdumannonov B. ↓, Umarov S. ↑,
60', Jukkola O. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
61', Glazer D. ↓, Baybek O. ↑,
70', Oksanen J. 🟨,
72', Gual M. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
72', Jorginho ↓, Bekbolat I. ↑,
74', Omirtaev O. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
74', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
78', Martynovich A. 🟨,
79', Mata L. ↓, Kurgin L. ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Edmilson ⚽, Bekbolat I. (A),
81', Buribaev N. ↓, Shamshi B. ↑,
90', 5 - 0, Tuyakbaev A. ⚽, Bekbolat I. (A),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 4.

Kairat is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Okzhetpes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kairat is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Kairat will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 56:20. (average 2.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:7. (average 3.3:0.8).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
27.06.26	Okzhetpes - Kairat	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	2:4 ✺
17.06.26	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Kairat - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
28.05.26	Ordabasy - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWTL
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
27.06.26	Okzhetpes - Kairat	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Okzhetpes - Tobol Kostanay	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Zhetysu - Okzhetpes	2:2 ✺
28.05.26	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	2:2 ✺
22.05.26	Altai Semey - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
27.06.26	Okzhetpes - Kairat	1:3
31.08.25	Okzhetpes - Kairat	0:1
24.05.25	Kairat - Okzhetpes	1:2
15.07.23	Okzhetpes - Kairat	0:1
03.06.23	Kairat - Okzhetpes	2:1
27.09.20	Okzhetpes - Kairat	3:3
11.03.20	Kairat - Okzhetpes	5:0

Upcoming Matches