Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Olancho		Lobos UPNFM

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.65
	1.6	3.65	5.05
	1.64	3.81	5.06	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.6	3.55	5.14	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.54)	3.59 ↓ (4.15)	4.98 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olancho
56.4%

Draw
25.3%

Lobos UPNFM
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Olancho - Lobos UPNFM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fonseca H. (G)
2. Almendarez O.
14. Argueta C.
23. Delgado J.
24. Elvir O.
3. Lasso J.
10. Leiva G.
12. Mejia Y.
33. Munoz N.
42. Reyes R.
21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Gutierrez C. ⚽,
36', Ruiz J. 🟨,
45+1', Garcia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Elvir O. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
46', Ruiz J. ↓, Rodas Andrino G. J. ↑,
46', Reyes R. ↓, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ⚽,
61', Moreira R. ↓, Crisanto J. ↑,
72', Perez S. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
76', Mejia Y. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
80', Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↓, Villatoro A. ↑,
81', Nunez Garcia J. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
81', Ponce J. ↓, Zuniga A. ↑,
86', Gutierrez C. ↓, Banzzety J. ↑,
89', Padilla J. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 2.

In recent matches, Olancho has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lobos UPNFM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olancho is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 2.4:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.01.26	Olancho - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Real España - Olancho	2:0 ✺
28.12.25	CD Marathón - Olancho	2:1 ✺
25.12.25	Olancho - Platense	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Platense - Olancho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLWT
- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
29.01.26	Choloma - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	0:0 ✺
04.12.25	CD Marathón - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
08.11.25	Olancho - Lobos UPNFM	1:1
10.09.25	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	1:1
27.04.25	Olancho - Lobos UPNFM	3:2
22.02.25	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	1:1
05.10.24	Olancho - Lobos UPNFM	4:0
03.08.24	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	1:0
06.04.24	Lobos UPNFM - Olancho	0:1

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