Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Olbia		Novara

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.87	2.55
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.35	2.95	2.9
	2.8	2.6	2.65
	3.01	2.7	2.84
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.96	2.72	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.37)	2.81 ↓ (2.93)	2.73 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
33.8%

Draw
32.6%

Novara
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

30.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

21.8%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olbia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olbia - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Novara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Olbia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Olbia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
22.04.21	Juventus U23 - Olbia	1:1 ✺
18.04.21	Lecco - Olbia	1:1 ✺
14.04.21	Olbia - Como	3:0 ✺
11.04.21	Olbia - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
07.04.21	Olbia - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTWTW
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
18.04.21	Novara - Pistoiese	3:2 ✺
11.04.21	Pro Patria - Novara	1:3 ✺
03.04.21	Novara - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
28.03.21	Novara - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.01.21	Novara - Olbia	1:1
17.11.19	Olbia - Novara	1:2
18.04.19	Olbia - Novara	1:2
16.12.18	Novara - Olbia	4:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.26	Novara - Desenzano Calvina	✺

Olbia - Novara