Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Novara		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	4.2
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.92	3	3.9
	1.97	2.85	3.9
	2.02	2.99	4.28
	1.91	3.2	4.2
	1.95	3.14	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.74)	3.04 ↓ (3.21)	4.05 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
47.2%

Draw
30.1%

Pistoiese
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

22%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Novara - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Novara is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pistoiese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pistoiese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Novara is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Novara won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
11.04.21	Pro Patria - Novara	1:3 ✺
03.04.21	Novara - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
28.03.21	Novara - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	1:1 ✺
18.03.21	Novara - Piacenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWTW
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group A
11.04.21	Pistoiese - Renate	1:0 ✺
07.04.21	Pistoiese - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Livorno - Pistoiese	5:0 ✺
31.03.21	Olbia - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Pistoiese - Lecco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
23.12.20	Pistoiese - Novara	2:0
27.10.19	Novara - Pistoiese	0:0
17.02.19	Novara - Pistoiese	1:1
21.10.18	Pistoiese - Novara	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.26	Novara - Desenzano Calvina	✺

Novara - Pistoiese