The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Novara 47.2%
Draw 30.1%
Pistoiese 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
28.1%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
22%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+18.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Novara - Pistoiese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).
Novara is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Pistoiese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pistoiese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Novara is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Novara won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.