Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Novara		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.5
	1.67	3.1	5.25
	1.72	2.95	4.9
	1.71	3	5
	1.74	3.18	5.85
	1.75	3.2	5
	1.74	3.28	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.02)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	5.07 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
53%

Draw
29.1%

Grosseto
17.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.1%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.3%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novara's performance.

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grosseto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Novara - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Novara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Novara is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Novara won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.21	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	1:1 ✺
18.03.21	Novara - Piacenza	2:0 ✺
15.03.21	Renate - Novara	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Novara - Lecco	3:0 ✺
03.03.21	Juventus U23 - Novara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.21	Grosseto - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
16.03.21	Livorno - Grosseto	2:2 ✺
13.03.21	Lecco - Grosseto	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Grosseto - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
04.03.21	Carrarese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.12.20	Grosseto - Novara	1:1
Coppa Italia
11.08.13	Novara - Grosseto	3:0
Italian Serie B
30.12.12	Novara - Grosseto	2:0
25.08.12	Grosseto - Novara	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.11.26	Novara - Desenzano Calvina	✺
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.26	Vado - Grosseto	✺

Novara - Grosseto