Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 8

Date: 2 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Olbia		Pineto

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.13	3.05	3.84
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.03	3.1	3.5
	2.02	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	3.55 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
44.7%

Draw
29.5%

Pineto
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.6%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Olbia - Pineto Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Olbia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Pineto will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rinaldi F. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 43. Montebugnoli M. 39. Motolese M. 5. Bellodi G. 20. Cavuoti N. 6. Incerti D. F. 3. La Rosa L. 21. Biancu R. 10. Ragatzu D. 18. Nanni N.	1. Mercorelli S. (G) 24. Evangelisti N. 27. Baggi F. 14. Marafini A. 23. De Santis S. 8. Germinario G. 6. Amadio S. 70. Teraschi M. 7. Volpicelli E. 9. Gambale D. 11. Njambe M.
Substitutes
24. Belloni L. 11. Contini G. 9. Corti A. 28. Di Nunzio F. 27. Fabbri F. 26. Mameli A. 12. Palmisani L. (G) 17. Palomba L. 67. Scapin T. 22. van der Want M. (G) 2. Zallu F.	19. Borsoi M. 29. Chakir A. 20. Della Quercia R. 4. Di Filippo N. 77. Foglia M. 36. Grilli M. (G) 28. Ingrosso G. 21. Lombardi L. 32. Macario G. 17. Ruggiero M. 30. Villa L.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Olbia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pineto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pineto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Olbia have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.23	Juventus U23 - Olbia	3:1 ✺
25.10.23	Olbia - Fermana	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Gubbio - Olbia	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Virtus Entella - Olbia	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Sassari Torres - Olbia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	1:1 ✺
26.10.23	Carrarese - Pineto	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Pineto - Cesena	1:1 ✺
11.10.23	Pineto - Pescara	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Pineto - Pontedera	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 TTTWW

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