Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX


	Vis Pesaro		Pineto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.87	3.25
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.19	3.03	3.34	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.2
	2.24	2.89	3.24	Watch
	2.16	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.13)	2.93 ↓ (3.07)	3.3 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
41.5%

Draw
31%

Pineto
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Vis Pesaro - Pineto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pozzi A. (G) 13. Primasso A. 4. Bove D. 3. Zoia R. 21. Vezzoni F. 17. Paganini L. 7. Pucciarelli M. 30. Beghetto A. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 20. Giovannini R. 9. Nicastro F.	22. Tonti A. (G) 4. Postiglione N. 52. Frare D. 3. Ienco S. 16. Gagliardi L. 8. Germinario G. 21. Lombardi L. 99. Pellegrino A. 11. Borsoi M. 32. Mastropietro F. 24. Vigliotti G.
Substitutes
77. Ascione S. 24. Berengo N. 33. Bocs R. 15. Ceccacci M. 72. Franchetti Rosada L. 16. Guarnone A. (G) 28. Machin J. 55. Mariani E. 8. Nina C. 11. Stabile D. P. 12. Tato L. (G) 5. Tonucci D. 99. Ventre A.	6. Amadio S. 77. Boccacci F. 55. Capomaggio T. 40. Falo A. 1. Marone F. (G) 68. Menna T. 28. Nebuloso G. 39. Sabatelli R. 25. Saccomanni G. 23. Serbouti A. 18. Viero F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Vigliotti G. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Lombardi L. ⚽,
26', Vigliotti G. 🟨,
45', Nicastro F. 🟨,
45+1', Mastropietro F. 🟨,
45+7', Primasso A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Beghetto A. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
57', Pellegrino A. 🟨,
66', Bove D. ↓, Machin J. ↑,
66', Mastropietro F. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
73', Giovannini R. ↓, Ascione S. ↑,
81', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
81', Nicastro F. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,
82', Ienco S. ↓, Serbouti A. ↑,
82', Pellegrino A. ↓, Saccomanni G. ↑,
87', Paganini L. 🟨,
89', Gagliardi L. ↓, Amadio S. ↑,
89', Borsoi M. ↓, Viero F. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vis Pesaro might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7
20	Vis Pesaro	7	1	1	5	8:16	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.25	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
15.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ravenna	1:0 ✺
08.12.25	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
01.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
24.11.25	Perugia - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTTL
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.25	Pineto - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Arezzo - Pineto	3:3 ✺
07.12.25	Sassari Torres - Pineto	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Pineto - Ravenna	0:3 ✺
23.11.25	Sambenedettese - Pineto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
22.08.25	Pineto - Vis Pesaro	1:1
21.02.25	Pineto - Vis Pesaro	1:1
13.10.24	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	1:1
05.03.24	Pineto - Vis Pesaro	1:1
30.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.10.17	Pineto - Vis Pesaro	2:1
15.01.17	Pineto - Vis Pesaro	0:0

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