The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arezzo 36.5%
Draw 33%
Virtus Entella 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
30.4%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
30.4%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Entella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
Arezzo - Virtus Entella Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Arezzo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trombini L. (G) 2. Montini A. 19. Chiosa M. 15. Gigli N. 23. Righetti S. 6. Renzi A. 18. Damiani M. 20. Santoro S. 7. Guccione F. 9. Ogunseye R. 21. Tavernelli C.
22. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 70. Bariti D. 47. Di Noia G. 21. Lipani J. 24. Franzoni A. 43. Ndrecka A. 77. Guiu B. 9. Castelli D.
Substitutes
30. Barboni F. 26. Bigi N. 22. Borra D. (G) 4. Del Fabro D. 14. Fiore S. 11. Gaddini M. 12. Galli A. (G) 28. Gucci N. 17. Lazzarini M. 25. Masetti L. 10. Pattarello E. 8. Settembrini A.
10. Casarotto M. 14. Corbari A. 40. Costa G. 16. Manzi C. 1. Paroni A. (G) 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 8. Siatounis A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 7. Tomaselli G. 32. Zappella D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
9', Marconi I. 🟨,
17', Gigli N. 🟨,
17', Guiu B. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Guccione F. ⚽, Tavernelli C. (A),
41', Castelli D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bariti D. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
46', Lipani J. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
46', Ndrecka A. ↓, Manzi C. ↑,
61', Damiani M. ↓, Settembrini A. ↑,
61', Ogunseye R. ↓, Gucci N. ↑,
61', Marconi I. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
61', Guiu B. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Franzoni A. ⚽,
72', Guccione F. ↓, Pattarello E. ↑,
75', Chiosa M. 🟨,
79', Gigli N. ↓, Fiore S. ↑,
79', Renzi A. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
90+3', Parodi L. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
Recent matches Arezzo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Virtus Entella is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Virtus Entella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).