The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oldham Athletic 52.6%
Draw 26.3%
Accrington Stanley 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.3%
23.2%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
23%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldham Athletic's form might have worsened.
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
Oldham Athletic - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 2. Scott-Morriss G. 24. Temple L. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 3. Robson J. 8. Norburn O. (C) 4. Pett T. 7. Appiah-Forson K. 27. Hammond O. 10. Kavanagh C.
1. Moulden L. (G) 17. Matthews D. 28. Conneely S. (C) 22. Anderson J. 2. Love D. 38. O'Brien C. 10. Henderson A. 14. Mols S. 33. Tutonda D. 30. Warren C. 23. Walton T.
Substitutes
14. Chilvers N. 15. Drummond K. 17. Fawunmi F. 9. Fondop M. 26. Payne K. 16. Sutton W. 22. Wilson A. (G)
16. Borland A. 20. Brown C. 27. Catesby J. 8. Grant C. 21. Rogerson J. (G) 25. Smith J. 3. Smith O.
Coaches
Mellon M.
Doolan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Anderson J. 🟨,
11', Temple L. 🟨,
15', Conneely S. ↓, Borland A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Henderson A. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
56', Temple L. ↓, Sutton W. ↑,
56', Hammond O. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
75', Drummond K. 🟨,
76', Pett T. ↓, Fondop M. ↑,
80', Tutonda D. 🟨,
83', Robson J. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 21st and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2.
Oldham is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Accrington shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Accrington may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Accrington has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Oldham is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Oldham: Stevens J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Accrington: Caton C.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Knee Injury)
Rawson F.
(Inactive)
Sinclair I.
(Inactive)
Whalley S.
(Inactive)
Woods J.
(Yellow Cards).
Doubtful / questionable for Accrington: Coyle L.
(Inactive)
Moore T.
(Inactive).
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Oldham has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:10 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Oldham against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).