Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham) 🌤️ ...


	Oldham Athletic		Leeds United U21

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.90	5.00
	1.53	4.33	4.33
	1.63	3.75	4.20
	1.56	4.54	5.09
	1.44	4.94	6	Watch
	1.52	4.45	5.00
	1.40	4.76	4.90
	1.55	4.50	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	4.4 ↑ (4.37)	4.9 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
60.4%

Draw
20.9%

Leeds United U21
18.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.9%

21.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

21.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Leeds United U21 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Leeds United U21 aligns with the current prediction.

Oldham Athletic - Leeds United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wilson A. (G) 16. Sutton W. 24. Temple L. 30. Hill T. 19. Tahir Z. 17. Fawunmi F. 4. Pett T. (C) 26. Payne K. 15. Drummond K. 9. Fondop M. 14. Chilvers N.	48. Mahady R. (G) 63. Lane F. 56. Egan-Riley R. 62. Enahoro L. 75. Philpott L. 50. Cresswell A. 66. Pickles O. (C) 60. Vincent H. 72. Mills C. 65. Lienou J. 47. Chadwick-Chaplin R.
Substitutes
33. Anderson I. 27. Hammond O. 21. Hawkes J. 1. Hudson M. (G) 32. Hughes A. 34. Johnson H. 6. Monthe M.	74. Alker S. 58. Cook R. (G) 51. Hodja D. 68. Matykiewicz L. 55. McDonald J. 78. Njinko C. 67. Render J.
Coaches
Mellon M.	Gardner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Chilvers N. (Penalty Awarded),
32', 1 - 1, Mills C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Philpott L. ↓, Njinko C. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Njinko C. ⚽, Mills C. (A),
53', 2 - 2, Drummond K. ⚽, Wilson A. (A),
62', Drummond K. ↓, Hammond O. ↑,
62', Fawunmi F. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
63', Chadwick-Chaplin R. ↓, McDonald J. ↑,
66', 3 - 2, Hawkes J. ⚽,
68', 4 - 2, Payne K. ⚽, Hawkes J. (A),
83', Enahoro L. ↓, Matykiewicz L. ↑,
90+1', Tahir Z. ↓, Anderson I. ↑,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Oldham (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Leeds U21 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Leeds U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Oldham has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The betting markets point to Oldham as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Oldham has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.

Specifically in home fixtures for Oldham against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now

Oldham: 1.55% Leeds U21: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English League Two
10.10.26	Oldham Athletic - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Oldham Athletic - Salford City	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Rochdale - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLL
- Leeds United U21
English Premier League Cup
09.10.26	Leeds United U21 - Stockport County U21	3:1 ✺
English National League Cup
06.10.26	Tamworth - Leeds United U21	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Barnsley - Leeds United U21	3:4 ✺
English Premier League 2
19.09.26	Leeds United U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Middlesbrough U21 - Leeds United U21	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
28.09.21	Oldham Athletic - Leeds United U21	2:3

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