Match Info

National League Cup

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	DAZN National League


	Tamworth		Leeds United U21

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.60	3.00
	1.78	4.25	3.10
	2.04	4.02	3.08
	1.87	4.02	3.31	Watch
	2.01	3.75	3.00
	1.94	3.72	3.11
	2.07	3.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.96)	3.89 ↓ (4)	3.08 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
46.9%

Draw
23.5%

Leeds United U21
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

23%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tamworth have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Leeds United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (-1%)

Tamworth - Leeds United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Macaulay J. (G) 7. Acquaye B. 24. Agina S. 29. Carson H. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. (C) 14. Dyson O. 26. Hollis H. 23. Hutchinson J. 28. Kelly G. 4. Kurtaran T. 2. Lyttle T.	1. Cook R. (G) 6. Egan-Riley R. 5. Enahoro L. 4. Howson J. 2. Lane F. 3. Philpott L. 8. Pickles O. 11. Render J. 7. Vincent H. 10. Whitehead L.
Substitutes
16. Calder R. 34. Edge C. . Jasper A. 39. Lovett R. (G) 37. Nyakuhwa C. 5. Parkes T. . Wyse T.	9. Alker S. 14. Matykiewicz L. 15. Mensah K. 12. Ombang D. (G) 17. Thompson A. 16. White L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Dyson O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Howson J. ↓, White L. ↑,
56', Enahoro L. ↓, Matykiewicz L. ↑,
60', Kurtaran T. 🟨,
66', Agina S. 🟨,
66', Agina S. ↓, Nyakuhwa C. ↑,
66', Carson H. ↓, Calder R. ↑,
80', Dyson O. ↓, Jasper A. ↑,
83', Thompson A. ↓, Mensah K. ↑,
88', Hutchinson J. ↓, Edge C. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4th and 5th).

In recent outings, Tamworth has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Leeds U21 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Leeds U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Leeds U21 has had a run of games away from home.

Tamworth is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tamworth has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Tamworth against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Tamworth - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.94%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
03.10.26	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
30.09.26	Tamworth - Sutton United	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	5:1 ✺
19.09.26	Tamworth - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Southend United - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWL
- Leeds United U21
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Barnsley - Leeds United U21	3:4 ✺
English Premier League 2
19.09.26	Leeds United U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Middlesbrough U21 - Leeds United U21	4:4 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Solihull Moors - Leeds United U21	2:3 ✺
English Premier League Cup
04.09.26	Charlton Athletic U21 - Leeds United U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League Cup
21.01.25	Tamworth - Leeds United U21	2:1

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