Match Info

League Two - Round 21

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)


	Oldham Athletic		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.5	3.3
	2.08	3.45	3.35	Watch
	2.04	3.63	3.71
	2.02	3.59	3.39	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.4
	2.04	3.4	3.45	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)	3.48 ↑ (3.29)	3.43 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
45.8%

Draw
26.9%

Tranmere Rovers
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.1%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Oldham Athletic - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hudson M. (G) 2. Ogle R. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 3. Leake J. 8. Woods R. 4. Pett T. (C) 26. Payne K. 11. Stevens J. 28. Mellon M. 14. Garner J.	13. Murphy J. (G) 5. Smith N. 4. Turnbull J. 30. McGowan A. 14. Joseph J. 24. Blacker B. 6. Smallwood R. 23. Bristow E. 7. Whitaker C. 9. Dennis K. 29. Ironside J.
Substitutes
20. Caprice J. 31. Donaghy T. (G) 15. Drummond K. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 27. Hammond O. 24. Robson J. 40. Simeu D.	12. Barrett J. (G) 3. Brough P. 10. Davison J. 8. Finley S. 18. Jennings C. 42. Kenneh N. 2. Norman C.
Coaches
Mellon M.	Crosby A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Stevens J. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
31', 1 - 0, Mellon M. ⚽, Caprice J. (A),
37', Turnbull J. 🟨,
40', Garner J. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Whitaker C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Leake J. ↓, Robson J. ↑,
46', Turnbull J. ↓, Brough P. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Mellon M. ⚽,
49', Caprice J. 🟨,
60', Garner J. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Mellon M. ⚽,
65', Blacker B. ↓, Finley S. ↑,
65', Ironside J. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
65', Dennis K. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
68', Fondop-Talum M. 🟥,
84', Mellon M. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
87', Hudson M. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 2.

Oldham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Tranmere has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tranmere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oldham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury) Hammond O. (Inactive) Hawkes J. (Injury)

There will not play in Tranmere: Lowe J. (Inactive) McGee L. (Hip Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tranmere: Patrick O. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Oldham won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Oldham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English League Two
13.12.25	Crawley Town - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
10.12.25	Oldham Athletic - Walsall	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic	3:1 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Oldham Athletic - Newport County	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLLW
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
13.12.25	Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	1:4 ✺
09.12.25	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	0:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.12.25	Tranmere Rovers - Fleetwood Town	0:3 ✺
English League Two
27.11.25	Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
02.11.24	Tranmere Rovers - Oldham Athletic	1:2
English League Two
30.04.22	Tranmere Rovers - Oldham Athletic	2:0
07.12.21	Oldham Athletic - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
English EFL Trophy
09.11.21	Tranmere Rovers - Oldham Athletic	3:2
English League Cup
10.08.21	Oldham Athletic - Tranmere Rovers	3:2 penalties
English League Two
20.02.21	Tranmere Rovers - Oldham Athletic	2:2
01.12.20	Oldham Athletic - Tranmere Rovers	0:1

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