The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 37.5%
Draw 27.6%
Crewe Alexandra 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
26.7%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
25.9%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1%)
The ML Model estimate for Crewe Alexandra aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
42.9%
28.6%
Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Murphy J. (G) 2. Norman C. 5. Smith N. 3. Brough P. 14. Joseph J. 24. Blacker B. 6. Smallwood R. (C) 23. Bristow E. 7. Whitaker C. 9. Dennis K. 29. Ironside J.
13. Waller S. (G) 2. Billington L. (C) 18. Connolly J. 3. Hutchinson R. 20. Agius C. 6. Sanders M. H. 19. Lunt O. 26. O'Reilly T. 24. March J. 29. Thibaut A. 36. Tezgel E.
Substitutes
12. Barrett J. (G) 10. Davison J. 25. Harris T. 18. Jennings C. 42. Kenneh N. 30. McGowan A. 4. Turnbull J.
1. Booth T. (G) 22. Croker P. 30. Dancey S. 4. Mingi J. J. 31. Moult L. 23. Powell J. 15. Rankine D.
Coaches
Crosby A.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Sanders M. H. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
45+1', Norman C. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Sanders M. H. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
45+9', Smith N. 🟨,
45+9', Thibaut A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Norman C. ↓, Turnbull J. ↑,
46', Brough P. ↓, Harris T. ↑,
56', Joseph J. 🟨,
59', 0 - 3, Tezgel E. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Billington L. 🟨,
66', Ironside J. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
66', Joseph J. ↓, McGowan A. ↑,
71', 0 - 4, O'Reilly T. ⚽, Sanders M. H. (A),
74', Dennis K. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
75', March J. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
75', Sanders M. H. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
81', Thibaut A. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
82', 1 - 4, Connolly J. (Own goal),
89', O'Reilly T. ↓, Dancey S. ↑,
90+5', McGowan A. 🟨,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1.
Tranmere is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Crewe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Crewe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Crewe: Powell J.
(Groin Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Calf Injury)
Demetriou M.
(Inactive)
Golding J.
(Inactive)
Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Tranmere Rovers - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.3%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Murphy J. (G) 
Norman C. 
Bristow E. 
Connolly J. 
Kenneh N. 
