Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Boundary Park (Oldham)


	Oldham Athletic		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.5
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.4	4.1	1.51
	5.6	4.5	1.45
	5.56	4.62	1.51
	5	4.33	1.5
	5.9	4.55	1.47
	5.8	4.2	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (4.04)	4.38 ↑ (3.6)	1.48 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
16.5%

Draw
21.1%

Wrexham
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

25.2%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

24.9%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oldham Athletic's form might have worsened.

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	11.1%	61.1%

Oldham Athletic - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Wrexham will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Oldham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wrexham in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English National League
24.09.22	Bromley - Oldham Athletic	3:0 ✺
17.09.22	Oldham Athletic - Eastleigh	3:2 ✺
13.09.22	Woking - Oldham Athletic	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	0:2 ✺
29.08.22	York City - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLT
- Wrexham AFC
English National League
24.09.22	Wrexham - Torquay United	6:0 ✺
17.09.22	Southend United - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
13.09.22	Wrexham - Dagenham & Redbridge	4:1 ✺
03.09.22	Dorking Wanderers - Wrexham	0:5 ✺
30.08.22	Wrexham - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWWW

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