The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
York City 46.2%
Draw 27.5%
Oldham Athletic 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
24.9%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
23.7%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that York City's form might have worsened.
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
8.3%
16.7%
York City - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for York: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 3 - 60%). Oldham (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Oldham (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 3 - 50%). Oldham (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 9. Akinyemi D. 28. Fagan-Walcott M. 23. Felix J. 5. Howe C. (C) 8. Hunt A. 21. John C. 11. Nathaniel-George A. 10. Pearce O. 17. Richardson L. 7. Sinclair T.
1. Hudson M. (G) 24. Evans C. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 14. Garner J. 3. Kitching M. 6. Monthe M. 2. Ogle R. 4. Pett T. 29. Pritchard J. 16. Raglan C. (C) 28. Yoganathan V.
Substitutes
15. Armstrong M. 18. Batty D. 19. Chadwick B. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 29. Luamba J. 24. Stones J. 16. Watson R. (G)
10. Conlon T. 31. Donaghy T. (G) 8. Lundstram J. 30. Norwood J. 15. Rossiter J. 21. Sutton W. 17. Uchegbulam J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Garner J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, Yoganathan V. ⚽,
51', 0 - 3, Pritchard J. ⚽,
59', Sinclair T. ↓, Luamba J. ↑,
59', Richardson L. ↓, Armstrong M. ↑,
60', Akinyemi D. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
76', Hunt A. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
77', Yoganathan V. ↓, Conlon T. ↑,
80', Garner J. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
82', Nathaniel-George A. ↓, John-Lewis L. N. ↑,
85', Evans C. ↓, Rossiter J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 1.
York is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Oldham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
York may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, York is the team to beat.
We predict that York will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, York won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, York won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).