Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Manuel Ferreira (Asunción)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Olimpia Asuncion		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.55	Watch
	2.8	3.35	2.5
	2.8	3.37	2.64
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.75	3.38	2.51	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.55)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.54 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
34.3%

Draw
28.7%

Fluminense
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Olimpia Asuncion - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Fluminense will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Espinola J. (G) 29. Salazar V. 23. Romana J. 15. Gamarra M. 36. Zabala F. 3. Silva A. 17. Gomez M. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 11. Torres I. 14. Cardozo F. 9. Bruera F.	1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 33. Nino (C) 30. Felipe Melo 40. Diogo Barbosa 21. Jhon Arias 7. Andre 11. Keno 10. Ganso 9. John Kennedy 14. Cano G.
Substitutes
21. Alcaraz A. 26. Barreto Viera O. J. 7. Fernandez H. 40. Frutos R. (G) 10. Gonzalez D. 19. Gonzalez W. 24. Montenegro B. 20. Otalvaro S. 16. Paiva G. 8. Quintana H. 27. Ramon Martinez 5. Salcedo S.	5. Alexsander 20. Danielzinho 44. David Braz 19. Fernandez L. 38. Gonzalez Y. 23. Guga 99. Lele 45. Lima 4. Marlon 8. Martinelli L. M. 22. Pedro Rangel (G) 29. Thiago Santos
Coaches
Arce F.	Diniz F.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Olimpia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fluminense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olimpia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Olimpia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.08.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.08.23	Fluminense - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Flamengo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTTW
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
27.08.23	Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.08.23	Fluminense - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.08.23	Fluminense - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
13.08.23	Grêmio - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.08.23	Fluminense - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
24.08.23	Fluminense - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0
16.03.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Fluminense	3:0 penalties
09.03.22	Fluminense - Olimpia Asuncion	3:1
29.05.13	Olimpia Asuncion - Fluminense	2:1
22.05.13	Fluminense - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0

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