Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	Athletico Paranaense		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.7	Watch
	5	3.4	1.75
	5	3.45	1.71
	4.7	3.45	1.73
	5.14	3.62	1.77
	5	3.5	1.75
	5.6	3.72	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (3.19)	3.52 ↑ (3.24)	1.74 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
18.8%

Draw
26.9%

River Plate Montevideo
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

29%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

20.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+23.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-25.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.9%	4.9%	67.2%

Athletico Paranaense - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 17 - 27.9%). River Plate will win (votes: 41 - 67.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 55.4% – 79%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Athletico PR is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently River Plate have a series of guest games.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
21.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - Santos	1:0 ✺
18.11.20	Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
14.11.20	Goiás - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
07.11.20	Athletico Paranaense - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.11.20	Flamengo - Athletico Paranaense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWWL
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.11.20	Deportivo Maldonado - River Plate Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.11.20	Banfield - River Plate Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Porteño	1:2 ✺
15.11.20	Sol de América - River Plate Montevideo	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.11.20	Godoy Cruz - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Recopa Sudamericana
30.05.19	River Plate Montevideo - Athletico Paranaense	3:0
22.05.19	Athletico Paranaense - River Plate Montevideo	1:0

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