Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)

Referee: Motta S. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	GOL TV Play, GOL TV Play
Uruguay	VTV+


	Deportivo Maldonado		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.87
	2.45	3	2.95	Watch
	2.52	3.12	3.11
	2.51	3.01	2.99	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.8
	2.41	3.17	2.95	Watch
	2.45	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.49)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)	2.94 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
38.1%

Draw
30.3%

River Plate Montevideo
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Deportivo Maldonado - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Maldonado will win (votes: 1 - 20%). River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Reyes G. (G) 7. Suarez M. 24. Montiel M. 19. Tealde F. 25. Ginzo J. M. 5. Nunez L. 8. Gonzalez P. 37. Noble Sequeira A. M. 11. Toledo H. 17. Centeno B. 9. Milan F.	25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 33. Corbo S. 3. Rodriguez N. 4. Salaberry H. (C) 13. Almeida C. 37. Quintana J. 8. Cristobal R. 22. Alfonso M. 11. De Los Santos J. 39. Zeballos J. 7. Lavega J.
Substitutes
28. Cartagena S. 16. Cesar R. 1. Freitas A. (G) 4. Fuica N. 29. Gonzalez A. 26. Larrazabal G. 14. Muniz R. 32. Petryk H. 27. Rodriguez A. 74. Romero D.	17. Amoroso V. 27. Baez J. 19. Barone F. 18. Barrios G. 29. Camarda M. 30. Campos N. 5. Galletto T. 1. Irrazabal Y. (G) 23. Olivera Moreira L. N. 10. Vera A.
Coaches
Diaz G.	Palladino F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Cristobal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Quintana J. ↓, Amoroso V. ↑,
59', Gonzalez P. ↓, Cartagena S. ↑,
59', Centeno B. ↓, Larrazabal G. ↑,
71', Milan F. ↓, Cesar R. ↑,
72', Corbo S. 🟨,
72', Zeballos J. ↓, Camarda M. ↑,
73', Alfonso M. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
73', Cristobal R. ↓, Barrios G. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Vera A. ⚽,
77', Toledo H. 🟨,
78', Ginzo J. M. ↓, Petryk H. ↑,
78', Nunez L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
82', Galletto T. 🟨,
86', Montiel M. 🟨,
90', Noble Sequeira A. M. 🟨,
90+1', Reyes G. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maldonado won 0.

Recent matches Maldonado is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

River Plate is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maldonado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Maldonado have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Maldonado won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Maldonado won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.08.24	Boston River - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado	0:1 ✺
12.07.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWTT
- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Libertadores
21.08.24	River Plate Montevideo - Talleres de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.08.24	River Plate Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	3:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.08.24	Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.07.24	River Plate Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
19.07.24	Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
15.06.24	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1
23.02.24	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1
19.10.23	Deportivo Maldonado - River Plate Montevideo	0:0
13.03.23	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1
02.10.22	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:0
07.05.22	Deportivo Maldonado - River Plate Montevideo	2:1
25.09.21	River Plate Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2

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