Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Olimpia Elbląg		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.37
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	2.65	3.25	2.33
	2.7	3.42	2.45
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.63	3.48	2.32	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.9)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.33 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
33.5%

Draw
27.6%

Polonia Warsaw
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.8%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.5%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Recent matches Elbląg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Polonia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Polonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Polonia have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
08.10.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Radunia Stężyca - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2 ✺
17.09.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTTL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 2
07.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - Garbarnia Kraków	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - KKS Kalisz	3:2 ✺
24.09.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
11.03.17	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Warsaw	2:1
19.08.16	Polonia Warsaw - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1

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