Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Olimpia Elbląg		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.25
	1.9	3.3	3.3
	1.88	3.5	3.4
	1.88	3.74	3.76
	1.95	3.4	3.25
	1.83	3.64	3.6	Watch
	1.92	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	3.44 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
47.8%

Draw
25.8%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.9%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-1%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 3.

Elbląg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elbląg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Elbląg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
10.09.22	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Wisła Puławy	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
30.08.22	Bałtyk Gdynia - Olimpia Elbląg	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 2
27.08.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Znicz Pruszków	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWTW
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 2
10.09.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Garbarnia Kraków	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:1 ✺
27.08.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:3 ✺
20.08.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:2 ✺
13.08.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Radunia Stężyca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
17.04.19	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0
12.08.18	Olimpia Elbląg - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:2
26.05.18	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1
05.11.17	Olimpia Elbląg - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:1
29.04.17	Olimpia Elbląg - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3:0
01.10.16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1
Polish Division 2 - East
19.04.14	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.10.26	Troszyn - Olimpia Elbląg	✺
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Naprzód Jędrzejów	✺

Olimpia Elbląg - Siarka Tarnobrzeg