Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday


	Olimpia Elbląg		Motor Lublin

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.05	3.2	3.05
	2.06	3.25	3.15
	2.12	3.32	3.27
	2.13	3.32	3.04	Watch
	2.11	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.45)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	3.14 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
43.6%

Draw
27.6%

Motor Lublin
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

28%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Elbląg's performance.

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Motor Lublin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Elbląg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motor Lublin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpia Elbląg - Motor Lublin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 0.

Recent matches Elbląg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Motor is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Elbląg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Elbląg have a series of guest games.

Recently Motor have a series of home games.

Elbląg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
05.11.22	Polkowice - Olimpia Elbląg	3:4 ✺
26.10.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
18.10.22	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
15.10.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLL
- Motor Lublin
Polish Cup
09.11.22	Motor Lublin - Wisła Kraków	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
05.11.22	Motor Lublin - Garbarnia Kraków	3:0 ✺
29.10.22	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Motor Lublin	0:2 ✺
Polish Cup
19.10.22	Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
23.07.22	Motor Lublin - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1
12.03.22	Motor Lublin - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0
30.08.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Motor Lublin	0:0
11.03.21	Motor Lublin - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0
05.09.20	Olimpia Elbląg - Motor Lublin	1:3
Polish Division 2 - East
24.05.14	Olimpia Elbląg - Motor Lublin	4:1

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