Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Olimpia Tegucigalpa		Luis Ángel Firpo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.10	5.50
	1.29	4.90	7.50
	1.46	4.25	6.21
	1.45	4.4	6.65	Watch
	1.43	4.20	5.90
	1.37	4.10	7.41	Watch
	1.47	4.10	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.5)	4.29 ↑ (4.2)	6.4 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
64.5%

Draw
21.3%

Luis Ángel Firpo
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.1%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Luis Ángel Firpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Luis Ángel Firpo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Menjivar E. (C) 6. Garcia F. 2. Hernandez E. 3. Bennett C. 12. Canales C. 15. Guity K. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 23. Alvarez J. 8. Rodriguez E. 21. Pena K. 19. Arboleda Y.	25. Amaya F. (G) 24. Jimenez J. 6. Vigil E. 3. Arizala Dajomes W. Y. (C) 12. Flores Sanchez D. A. 26. Mercado M. 17. Cerritos M. 28. Aguila R. 27. Ortez D. 10. Garcia V. 7. Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
Substitutes
73. Arzu D. 24. Bermudez J. 7. Enriquez I. 26. Flores D. 18. Garcia R. 4. Lobo E. 20. Maldonado A. 45. Martinez B. 39. Ortiz A. 25. Paguada D. 68. Rodriguez J. 22. Rodriguez O. (G)	1. Barrera G. (G) 16. Ceren O. 5. Claros L. 2. Cornejo M. 29. Erazo M. (G) 4. Flores E. 19. Gil C. 9. Gonzalez M. E. 23. Guevara D. 8. Landaverde Alvarez B. B. 36. Rodriguez E. 20. Valencia J.
Coaches
Espinel E.	Solano M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Rodriguez E. (Penalty Awarded),
35', Jean-Baptiste J. 🟨,
45+2', Mercado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ortez D. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Guity K. ⚽, Pena K. (A),
54', Vigil E. ↓, Claros L. ↑,
54', Garcia V. ↓, Guevara D. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Rodriguez E. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
69', Jean-Baptiste J. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
69', Hernandez E. ↓, Lobo E. ↑,
69', Arboleda Y. ↓, Enriquez I. ↑,
70', Aguila R. ↓, Landaverde Alvarez B. B. ↑,
78', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↓, Gonzalez M. E. ↑,
78', Rodriguez E. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
88', Guity K. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
90+1', Lobo E. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 3-0.

Olimpia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Luis Ángel Firpo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Olimpia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Tegucigalpa - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.98%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
13.09.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:3 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
03.09.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Platense	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWTW
- Luis Ángel Firpo
El Salvador Primera Division
13.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:3 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
06.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Inter Santa Tecla	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	CD FAS - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	Xelajú - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
10.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:3

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