Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (Bahía Blanca)


	Olimpo Bahia Blanca		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.9	Watch
	1.54	3.53	5.71
	1.50	3.44	8.60	Watch
	1.58	3.47	6.83	Watch
	1.5	3.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)	3.43 ↑ (3.2)	6.91 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Olimpo Bahia Blanca
59.9%

Draw
26.8%

Douglas Haig
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

28.2%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

29.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpo Bahia Blanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Douglas Haig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpo Bahia Blanca than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Douglas Haig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Douglas Haig (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Olimpo (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpo (votes: 3 - 75%). Douglas Haig (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 7. Amarilla C. 11. Coacci E. 4. Di Buo I. 8. Espejo L. 5. Fernandez S. 3. Ferreyra M. (C) 6. Moiraghi N. 10. Ramirez D. 9. Tarifa G. 2. Vivas J.	1. Bacher E. (G) 8. Baglivo G. L. 6. Bazzana N. 10. Castellano J. 11. Gutierrez S. 4. Magnago B. 3. Mauri M. 5. Meza B. 9. Orlando M. 2. Pezzi A. 7. Tus E.
Substitutes
17. Gallegos E. 15. Gimenez K. 18. Groba G. 20. Murialdo A. 13. Oneto T. 19. Prost M. 12. Rojas M. 14. Vega G. 16. Villagra N.	18. Bogado E. 12. Carrera J. (G) 14. Gomez M. 19. Gonzalez F. 17. Jara A. 20. Munoz L. 15. Ojeda L. 16. Ponce de Leon M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Baglivo G. L. ↓, Ojeda L. ↑,
27', Bazzana N. 🟨,
31', Ferreyra M. 🟨,
41', Tarifa G. 🟨,
45', Ramirez D. 🟨,
45+4', Coacci E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Coacci E. ↓, Murialdo A. ↑,
50', Di Buo I. 🟨,
53', Orlando M. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Gutierrez S. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-5. 2nd leg.

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Olimpo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Douglas Haig is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Douglas Haig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Olimpo is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Olimpo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Olimpo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.11.25	Douglas Haig - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	5:0 ✺
02.11.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	3:1 ✺
20.10.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Juventud Unida Universitario - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTWT
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.11.25	Douglas Haig - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	5:0 ✺
01.11.25	Argentino Monte Maíz - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Douglas Haig - Argentino Monte Maíz	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.11.25	Douglas Haig - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	5:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.06.13	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Douglas Haig	0:0
09.12.12	Douglas Haig - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	0:2

Upcoming Matches