Match Info

Date: 19 January 2022, Wednesday


	Oliveirense		Montalegre

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.8	4.2	Watch
	1.52	3.8	5
	1.57	3.75	4.9
	1.53	4.11	6.03
	1.88	3.2	3.75
	1.53	4	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.76)	3.78 ↑ (3.3)	4.89 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
57%

Draw
24.3%

Montalegre
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.4%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

21.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oliveirense's performance.

Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliveirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 11 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Oliveirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montalegre is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Oliveirense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 3
15.01.22	Sanjoanense - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
19.12.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
11.12.21	Oliveirense - Braga B	2:4 ✺
07.12.21	Lusitânia - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
04.12.21	Oliveirense - Pevidem	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWW
- CDC Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3
15.01.22	Montalegre - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
18.12.21	Montalegre - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
12.12.21	Pevidem - Montalegre	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Felgueiras - Montalegre	3:1 ✺
05.12.21	Montalegre - Canelas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
29.08.21	Montalegre - Oliveirense	3:2

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