Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Montalegre		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	1.98	Watch
	3.5	3.05	2
	3.4	3.15	2.01
	3.74	3.23	2.05
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.5	3.32	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.17)	3.17 ↓ (3.4)	2.02 (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montalegre
26.3%

Draw
28.7%

Lusitânia
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

20.6%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitânia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Montalegre is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lusitânia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lusitânia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDC Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3
12.12.21	Pevidem - Montalegre	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Felgueiras - Montalegre	3:1 ✺
05.12.21	Montalegre - Canelas	0:2 ✺
28.11.21	Fafe - Montalegre	2:2 ✺
06.11.21	Montalegre - São João de Ver	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLTL
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
11.12.21	Lusitânia - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:0 ✺
07.12.21	Lusitânia - Oliveirense	0:1 ✺
04.12.21	Braga B - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
27.11.21	Pevidem - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Lusitânia - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.21	Lusitânia - Montalegre	2:1

Upcoming Matches