Match Info

Date: 22 January 2021, Friday


	Oliveirense		Varzim

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3.1
	2.4	2.85	3
	2.28	2.85	3.2
	2.5	2.9	3
	2.62	3.01	3.14
	2.5	2.88	3.1
	2.59	2.66	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.28)	2.88 ↑ (2.78)	3.11 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
37.6%

Draw
32.4%

Varzim
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

33.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliveirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varzim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	33.3%	20%

Oliveirense - Varzim Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). Varzim will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oliveirense: 28.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Oliveirense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varzim is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oliveirense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
17.01.21	Académico de Viseu - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
10.01.21	Oliveirense - Feirense	1:0 ✺
06.01.21	Leixões - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
03.01.21	Benfica B - Oliveirense	4:0 ✺
29.12.20	Oliveirense - Cova De Piedade	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWTLT
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
17.01.21	Varzim - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
10.01.21	Penafiel - Varzim	1:2 ✺
03.01.21	Varzim - Vilafranquense	1:1 ✺
29.12.20	Vizela - Varzim	1:0 ✺
19.12.20	Varzim - Feirense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
26.01.20	Oliveirense - Varzim	4:0
10.08.19	Varzim - Oliveirense	0:0
17.03.19	Varzim - Oliveirense	1:1
12.11.18	Oliveirense - Varzim	3:0
10.03.18	Oliveirense - Varzim	0:0
30.09.17	Varzim - Oliveirense	0:1
05.03.16	Oliveirense - Varzim	1:0

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