Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Varzim		Casa Pia

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.15	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.2
	3.35	2.95	2.17
	3.35	2.95	2.22
	3.61	3.12	2.29
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.38	3.08	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.59)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	2.2 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
27.5%

Draw
30.8%

Casa Pia
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.3%

31%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

33.1%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Varzim - Casa Pia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Casa Pia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
08.04.22	Penafiel - Varzim	4:1 ✺
04.04.22	Varzim - Porto B	2:1 ✺
20.03.22	Vilafranquense - Varzim	0:0 ✺
11.03.22	Varzim - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Benfica B - Varzim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWTWW
- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
09.04.22	Casa Pia - Farense	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Académica Coimbra - Casa Pia	0:2 ✺
20.03.22	Casa Pia - Feirense	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Chaves - Casa Pia	4:1 ✺
08.03.22	Casa Pia - Mafra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
02.12.21	Casa Pia - Varzim	1:0
16.05.21	Casa Pia - Varzim	3:0
17.01.21	Varzim - Casa Pia	0:1
19.01.20	Casa Pia - Varzim	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Liga Portugal
30.10.26	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	✺

Varzim - Casa Pia