Match Info

Date: 29 December 2020, Tuesday


	Oliveirense		Cova De Piedade

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.33	3	3
	2.32	3.05	3
	2.42	3.19	3.27
	2.35	3	3.2
	2.36	2.96	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.03)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	3.15 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveirense
40%

Draw
30.5%

Cova De Piedade
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

29.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

19.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oliveirense's form might have worsened.

Cova De Piedade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oliveirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cova De Piedade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oliveirense - Cova De Piedade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Oliveirense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cova De Piedade is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Cova De Piedade have a series of home games.

Oliveirense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveirense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveirense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
20.12.20	Mafra - Oliveirense	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Oliveirense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.20	Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
08.11.20	Oliveirense - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Académica Coimbra - Oliveirense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLL
- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
19.12.20	Cova De Piedade - Penafiel	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
13.12.20	Cova De Piedade - Moreirense	2:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.20	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	1:3 ✺
28.11.20	Cova De Piedade - Feirense	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Cova De Piedade - Benfica B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.19	Oliveirense - Cova De Piedade	2:0
03.02.19	Cova De Piedade - Oliveirense	0:1
26.08.18	Oliveirense - Cova De Piedade	1:1
11.04.18	Cova De Piedade - Oliveirense	3:2
26.11.17	Oliveirense - Cova De Piedade	1:1

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