Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 10

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Deportivo Cuenca		Orense

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.1	4	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2	3.22	4.42
	1.89	3.38	4.18	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.6
	1.9	3.19	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	3.17 ↓ (3.48)	4.05 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
47.8%

Draw
29.3%

Orense
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.8%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.9%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Deportivo Cuenca - Orense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 37. Arboleda C. 14. Chacon J. 30. Maccari M. 8. Vega E. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 9. Leguizamon N. 49. Gonzalez D.	22. Ortiz J. (G) 31. Velasco P. (C) 5. Lorenzo A. 45. Quinonez O. 15. Caicedo B. 25. Jaramilo R. 13. Mena A. 10. Burgoa V. 7. Vasquez S. 54. Zambrano Pesantez E. S. 11. Herrera A.
Substitutes
19. Diaz M. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 20. Garcia B. 23. Guevara E. 29. Klimowicz M. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 21. Morocho S. 2. Mosquera I. 43. Ordonez J. 18. Piedra M. 11. Rivero G.	8. Armas D. 19. Bermudez M. 17. Caicedo E. 9. Charpentier P. 53. Garces L. 50. Hernandez E. 51. Ortiz C. 14. Pluas E. 4. Quinonez S. 21. Rostagno G. 58. Toledo G. (G) 77. Vinan B.
Coaches
Celico J.	Torres H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Caicedo B. 🟨,
31', Chacon J. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Herrera A. ⚽,
38', Vega E. 🟨,
45+5', Quinonez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Vega E. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Boolsen P. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Herrera A. ⚽, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. (A),
67', 1 - 3, Herrera A. ⚽, Caicedo B. (A),
71', Leguizamon N. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
71', Mancinelli L. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
74', Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
77', Lopez A. ↓, Morocho S. ↑,
77', Gonzalez D. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
81', Ordonez J. 🟨,
85', Rivero G. 🟥,
86', Vasquez S. ↓, Pluas E. ↑,
90', Pluas E. 🟨,
90+1', Mena A. 🟨,
90+2', Mena A. ↓, Rostagno G. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Deportivo Cuenca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Orense - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.76%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.04.26	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Santos	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.26	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLLWW
- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.04.26	Orense - Delfín	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Orense - Libertad Loja	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Independiente del Valle - Orense	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	SD Aucas - Orense	3:2 ✺
19.03.26	Orense - Mushuc Runa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.08.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Orense	1:1
09.05.25	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0
09.08.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Orense	1:2
10.03.24	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1
03.09.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Orense	1:0
07.04.23	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0
15.10.22	Orense - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0

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