Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 9

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Manta		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.05	3.35	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.68
	2.17	3.18	3.47	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.17	3.23	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.87)	3.11 ↑ (2.98)	3.41 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manta
42.9%

Draw
29.9%

Deportivo Cuenca
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

31.3%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

31.2%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manta's performance.

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Cuenca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Cuenca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Manta - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Manta (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Manta (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zambrano F. (G) 23. Medina A. 24. Moscarelli O. 16. Quintero D. 31. Mina G. 21. Ortiz M. (C) 18. Beltramone E. 7. Cabezas D. 6. Jimenez J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 9. Blanco J.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 2. Mosquera I. 23. Guevara E. (C) 18. Piedra M. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 30. Maccari M. 20. Garcia B. 43. Ordonez J. 21. Morocho S. 16. Mejia J. 11. Rivero G.
Substitutes
19. Alman J. 17. Angulo J. 57. Burbano S. 20. Chala J. 1. Chavez W. (G) 14. Mina J. 70. Nazareno J. 99. Pico E. (G) 5. Ramirez B. 52. Rialpe J. 27. Troya J. 8. Valencia M.	37. Arboleda C. 28. Boolsen P. 14. Chacon J. 19. Diaz M. 49. Gonzalez D. 29. Klimowicz M. 9. Leguizamon N. 7. Mancinelli L. 12. Minda E. (G) 6. Postel S. 50. Siguenza M. 8. Vega E.
Coaches
Carvajal Burgos J. E.	Celico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Cabezas D. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Ordonez J. ⚽, Mejia J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Beltramone E. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
46', Jimenez J. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
57', Asagidigbi F. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
57', Cabezas D. ↓, Alman J. ↑,
58', Ferrero F. 🟨,
61', Mejia J. ↓, Postel S. ↑,
68', Medina A. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
69', Rivero G. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
69', Garcia B. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
69', Morocho S. ↓, Vega E. ↑,
81', Valencia M. 🟨,
84', Mosquera I. ↓, Boolsen P. ↑,
85', Mina J. 🟨,
86', Blanco J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.

Recent form of Manta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportivo Cuenca's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Manta won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Manta - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.52%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Manta	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	LDU Quito - Manta	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Manta - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Delfín - Manta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLLW
- Deportivo Cuenca
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Santos	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.26	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.08.25	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1
02.05.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	2:0
Ecuadorian Copa
21.07.24	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	1:3
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.08.21	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	1:0
07.03.21	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0
01.11.14	Manta - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1
05.10.14	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	1:0

Upcoming Matches