Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Oltrepo		Varesina

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.15
	2.14	3.14	3.25	Watch
	2.13	3.08	3.25
	2.12	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.27)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)	3.23 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oltrepo
42.5%

Draw
29.3%

Varesina
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oltrepo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oltrepo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Oltrepo - Varesina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).

Oltrepo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Varesina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oltrepo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Oltrepo
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.01.26	Vogherese - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Brusaporto - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Oltrepo - Villa Valle	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Sondrio - Oltrepo	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Oltrepo - Folgore Caratese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLTL
- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.01.26	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Varesina - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Breno - Varesina	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Varesina - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Chievo - Varesina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLLW

Oltrepo - Varesina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide