Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium (Piraeus)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Olympiacos Piraeus		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	3
	2.4	3.4	3.1
	2.45	3.42	3.12
	2.45	3.47	2.99	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.42	3.46	3.05
	2.37	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.36)	3.4 ↑ (3.32)	3.04 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympiacos Piraeus
40.1%

Draw
28.3%

Bayer Leverkusen
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

29.1%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	30.4%	44.6%

Olympiacos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Olympiacos will win (votes: 14 - 25%). Bayer will win (votes: 25 - 44.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 31.6% – 57.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 2 - 20%). Bayer (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bayer (1.54) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

TQ, OT - Olympiacos (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Bayer (2.18) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Bayer (2.01) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Olympiacos (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Bayer (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. (C) 5. Pirola L. 3. Ortega F. 96. Mouzakitis C. 32. Hezze S. 10. Martins G. 99. Taremi M. 56. Podence D. 9. El Kaabi A.	28. Blaswich J. (G) 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 21. Lucas 25. Palacios E. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 30. Maza I. 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
17. Andre Luiz 4. Biancone G. 31. Botis N. (G) 22. Chiquinho 19. Clayton 20. Costinha 14. Garcia D. 6. Kalogeropoulos A. 8. Nascimento D. 70. Onyemaechi B. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 16. Scipioni L.	13. Arthur 5. Bade L. 42. Culbreath M. 6. Fernandez E. 7. Hofmann J. 35. Kofane C. 36. Lomb N. (G) 15. Oermann T. 18. Omlin J. (G) 16. Tape A. 11. Terrier M. 10. Tillman M.
Coaches
Mendilibar J. L.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', El Kaabi A. 🟨,
42', Garcia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pirola L. ↓, Biancone G. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Schick P. ⚽, Poku E. (A),
63', 0 - 2, Schick P. ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
64', Podence D. ↓, Andre Luiz ↑,
64', Taremi M. ↓, Chiquinho ↑,
64', Maza I. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
76', Poku E. ↓, Terrier M. ↑,
77', Lucas ↓, Arthur ↑,
82', Hezze S. ↓, Scipioni L. ↑,
82', Ortega F. ↓, Onyemaechi B. ↑,
86', Schick P. ↓, Kofane C. ↑,
87', Garcia A. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Olympiacos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayer is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Olympiacos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Olympiacos has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Olympiacos: Angelakis K. (Inactive) Bakoulas T. (Knee Injury) Vezo R. (Inactive) Yazici Y. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Tella N. (Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Olympiacos: Ortega F. (Inactive) Taremi M. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olympiacos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, Olympiacos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Olympiacos Piraeus: 0.07%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
14.02.26	Levadiakos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
04.02.26	Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:3 ✺
01.02.26	AEK Athens - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Ajax - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWTW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
14.02.26	Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.02.26	Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
31.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0

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