Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 2
Angola	15:30	Z Sports 2
Argentina	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	18:30	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	11:30	SporTV
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	11:30	Disney+
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 2
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	See, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	20:30	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Moldova	16:30	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	22:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Tajikistan	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	21:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Eintracht Frankfurt		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.75	2	Watch
	3.35	3.7	2.08	Watch
	3.6	3.73	2.1
	3.4	3.82	2.11	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2
	3.4	3.81	2.11	Watch
	3.6	3.66	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.77)	3.71 ↓ (3.78)	2.06 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
27.8%

Draw
25.8%

Bayer Leverkusen
46.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

25.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eintracht Frankfurt's form might have worsened.

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 2 - 5.3%). Bayer will win (votes: 30 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 65.9% – 91.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.25 - Bayer (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Bayer (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Kaua Santos (G) 5. Amenda A. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Theate A. 13. Kristensen R. 16. Larsson H. 15. Skhiri E. 21. Brown N. 20. Doan R. 27. Gotze M. 25. Kalimuendo A.	28. Blaswich J. (G) 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 13. Arthur 6. Fernandez E. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 10. Tillman M. 11. Terrier M. 35. Kofane C.
Substitutes
29. Amaimouni A. 19. Bahoya J. 8. Chaibi F. 18. Dahoud M. 41. Doumbia F. 6. Hojlund O. 7. Knauff A. 26. Kosugi K. 23. Zetterer M. (G)	44. Belocian J. 42. Culbreath M. 7. Hofmann J. 21. Lucas 18. Omlin J. (G) 25. Palacios E. 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P. 16. Tape A.
Coaches
Schmitt D.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Arthur ⚽, Grimaldo A. (A),
33', 0 - 2, Tillman M. ⚽, Kofane C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Koch R. ⚽,
53', Kristensen R. 🟨,
57', Larsson H. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
63', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
64', Fernandez E. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
64', Terrier M. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
69', Skhiri E. 🟨,
69', Gotze M. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
69', Doan R. ↓, Amaimouni A. ↑,
70', Skhiri E. 🟨,
72', Kofane C. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
82', Tillman M. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
84', Brown N. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Garcia A. ⚽, Poku E. (A),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 0.

Eintracht is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bayer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bayer could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Eintracht: Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Baum E. (Injury) Burkardt J. (Calf Injury) Ebnoutalib Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Bayer: Bade L. (Yellow Cards) Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Tella N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Eintracht: Uzun C. Y. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 28:53. (average 1.4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	16:9	7	13
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	2	2	2	10:16	-6	8

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 4.33% Eintracht Frankfurt: 0.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Tottenham Hotspur	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
16.01.26	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
13.01.26	Stuttgart - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
12.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1
01.03.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:4
19.10.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1
05.05.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:5
17.12.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:0
08.04.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1
15.10.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	5:1

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