Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	17:30	Disney+
Croatia	21:30	SportKlub 10
Finland	22:30	Veikkaus TV
France	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	21:30	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	22:30	COSMOTE Sport 5
Portugal	20:30	Sport TV1
Slovenia	21:30	SportKlub 6
Ukraine	22:30	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	17:30	Antel TV


	Gil Vicente		Braga

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.05	2.18	Watch
	3.75	3.18	2.21
	3.64	3.18	2.16	Watch
	3.5	3	2.15	Watch
	3.72	3.22	2.21	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.49)	3.13 ↓ (3.36)	2.16 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente
26.3%

Draw
30.1%

Braga
43.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

27.9%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Gil Vicente - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Braga will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lucao (G) 2. Ze Carlos (C) 4. Elimbi M. 39. Buatu J. 3. Konan G. 6. Ze Carlos 10. Esteves L. 77. Murilo de Souza 95. Garcia S. 11. Fernandes J. 29. Carlos Eduardo	1. Hornicek L. (G) 14. Lagerbielke G. 37. Barisic A. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 2. Gomez V. 8. Moutinho J. 27. Grillitsch F. 77. Martinez G. 10. Zalazar R. 18. Victor P. 21. Horta R. (C)
Substitutes
17. Bermejo 48. Espigares A. 99. Figueira Daniel (G) 23. Hernandez H. 20. Hevertton S. 82. Maia G. 27. Moreira A. 80. Rodrigues R. 89. Varela G.	41. da Rocha Y. 20. Dorgeles M. 17. Gabriel Moscardo 5. Lelo L. 39. Navarro F. 15. Oliveira P. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G) 34. Tiknaz D. E.
Coaches
Peixoto C.	Vicens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Horta R. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Carlos Eduardo ↓, Varela G. ↑,
58', Esteves L. 🟨,
61', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
61', Fernandes J. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
64', Grillitsch F. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Varela G. ⚽, Garcia S. (A),
73', Victor P. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
73', Barisic A. ↓, Oliveira P. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽, Murilo de Souza (A),
80', Arrey-Mbi B. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
80', Moutinho J. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
86', Esteves L. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
89', Murilo de Souza ↓, Bermejo ↑,
90+2', Elimbi M. 🟨,
90+6', Rodrigues D. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 1.

Gil Vicente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Braga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Braga could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Gil Vicente: Mutombo J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Braga: El Ouazzani A. (Foot Injury) Gorby (Muscle Injury) Niakate S. (Muscle Injury) Vitor Carvalho (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Gil Vicente	9	4	2	3	8:7	1	14
9	Braga	9	3	2	4	9:11	-2	11

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Gil Vicente: 0.54% Braga: 0.42%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
07.02.26	Moreirense - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Gil Vicente - Famalicão	5:0 ✺
26.01.26	Porto - Gil Vicente	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Gil Vicente - Nacional	2:1 ✺
02.01.26	Gil Vicente - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWT
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
08.02.26	Braga - Rio Ave	3:0 ✺
02.02.26	AVS - Braga	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Braga	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.01.26	Braga - Alverca	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Braga - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
14.09.25	Braga - Gil Vicente	0:1
09.02.25	Braga - Gil Vicente	2:0
01.09.24	Gil Vicente - Braga	0:0
16.03.24	Braga - Gil Vicente	2:1
28.10.23	Gil Vicente - Braga	3:3
16.04.23	Braga - Gil Vicente	1:0
30.10.22	Gil Vicente - Braga	0:1

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