Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Orange Velodrome (Marseille)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Olympique Marseille		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.7	2.1
	2.85	3.50	2.05
	2.88	3.5	2.18	Watch
	2.83	3.71	2.17
	2.95	3.79	2.17
	2.75	3.55	2.1
	3.04	3.81	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.74)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	2.15 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
32.2%

Draw
25.2%

Atlético Madrid
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25.3%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Olympique Marseille - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. De Lange J. (G) 22. Weah T. (C) 5. Balerdi L. 19. Kondogbia G. 33. Emerson 8. Abdelli H. 23. Hojbjerg P. 77. Harit A. 7. Gomes A. 14. Paixao I. 9. Gouiri A.	13. Oblak J. (G) 20. Simeone G. 27. Dominguez J. 24. Le Normand R. 17. Hancko D. 22. Grimaldo A. 8. Barrios P. 6. Koke (C) 5. Cardoso J. 7. Lee Kang-In 11. Lookman A.
Substitutes
48. Abdallah K. 45. Baradji M. 74. Bezahaf K. 25. Garcia U. 41. Gomis I. (G) 46. Koum Mbondo A. 11. Maupay N. 76. Mmadi T. 6. Nnadi T. 27. Timber Q. 92. Vermot T. (G)	32. Bonar J. 46. Castillo J. 61. Cubo M. 31. Esquivel S. (G) 2. Gimenez J. 23. Hjulmand M. 15. Lemar T. 12. Martin C. 30. Martinez D. 4. Mendoza R. 54. Ortiz A. 18. Pubill M. 55. Rubio D. (G) 21. Vargas O.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Simeone G. 🟨,
17', Le Normand R. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Paixao I. ⚽,
36', Lee Kang-In ↓, Martin C. ↑,
36', Simeone G. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
36', Grimaldo A. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Mendoza R. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
41', Paixao I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barrios P. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
48', Balerdi L. 🟨,
56', Koke ↓, Vargas O. ↑,
56', Cardoso J. ↓, Hjulmand M. ↑,
62', Kondogbia G. 🟨,
69', Le Normand R. ↓, Gimenez J. ↑,
70', Hancko D. ↓, Pubill M. ↑,
70', Lookman A. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
70', Dominguez J. ↓, Bonar J. ↑,
76', Gomes A. ↓, Nnadi T. ↑,
76', Abdelli H. ↓, Timber Q. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Martin C. ⚽, Ortiz A. (A),
82', Balerdi L. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,
82', Kondogbia G. ↓, Koum Mbondo A. ↑,
82', Paixao I. ↓, Mmadi T. ↑,
87', Emerson ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
87', Harit A. ↓, Abdallah K. ↑,
87', Weah T. ↓, Bezahaf K. ↑,

Preview

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marseille won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Including home match between the teams, Marseille won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Al-Shahania	3:0 ✺
30.07.26	Olympique Marseille - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Olympique Marseille - Nice	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Le Havre - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Atlético Madrid
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Manchester United - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.05.26	Villarreal - Atlético Madrid	5:1 ✺
17.05.26	Atlético Madrid - Girona	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
16.05.18	Olympique Marseille - Atlético Madrid	0:3

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