Match Info

Date: 4 April 2021, Sunday


	Olympique Marseille		Dijon

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6.5
	1.52	4.2	6.25	Watch
	1.52	4.2	6.2
	1.52	4.47	6.85
	1.5	4	7	Watch
	1.52	4.3	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)	4.24 ↓ (4.31)	6.58 ↓ (6.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
63.1%

Draw
22.5%

Dijon
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.1%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

19.2%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.9%	7.3%	5.8%

Olympique Marseille - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (119 of 137 users predict this - 86.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.2% – 92.52%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2).

Marseille has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dijon has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Recent matches Marseille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dijon has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marseille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marseille is absolute favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Marseille won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
20.03.21	Nice - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
13.03.21	Olympique Marseille - Brest	3:1 ✺
10.03.21	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
07.03.21	Canet Roussillon - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.03.21	Lille - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLL
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 1
21.03.21	Dijon - Reims	0:1 ✺
14.03.21	Dijon - Bordeaux	1:3 ✺
03.03.21	Brest - Dijon	3:1 ✺
27.02.21	Dijon - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
21.02.21	Lens - Dijon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
09.01.21	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	0:0
24.09.19	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	0:0
08.02.19	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	1:2
11.11.18	Olympique Marseille - Dijon	2:0
31.03.18	Dijon - Olympique Marseille	1:3
06.08.17	Olympique Marseille - Dijon	3:0
01.04.17	Olympique Marseille - Dijon	1:1

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