Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 13

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Nice		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.45	3.7	2.02
	3.92	3.85	1.96
	3.65	3.81	1.92	Watch
	3.83	3.81	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.65)	3.78 ↓ (3.81)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
26%

Draw
25.4%

Olympique Marseille
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

24.7%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.9%	21.4%	66.7%

Nice - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 5 - 12.5%). Marseille will win (votes: 28 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 55.8% – 84.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Nice (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Nice (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Marseille (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 92. Clauss J. 99. Abdul Samed S. 24. Vanhoutte C. 26. Bard M. (C) 10. Diop S. 25. Cho M. 9. Moffi T.	12. De Lange J. (G) 22. Weah T. 28. Pavard B. 5. Balerdi L. (C) 33. Emerson 19. Kondogbia G. 18. Vermeeren A. 10. Greenwood M. 8. Gomes A. 14. Paixao I. 97. Aubameyang P.
Substitutes
2. Abdi A. 7. Boga J. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 21. Jansson I. 90. Kevin 20. Louchet T. 49. Nguene B. 8. Sanson M.	50. Bakola D. 4. Egan-Riley C. 6. Garcia U. 7. Maupay N. 76. Mmadi T. 26. Nadir B. 17. O'Riley M. 1. Rulli G. (G) 34. Vaz R.
Coaches
Haise F.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Pavard B. (A),
14', Mendy A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Greenwood M. ⚽,
37', Abdi A. 🟨,
37', Rulli G. 🟨,
45+1', Kondogbia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', 0 - 3, Greenwood M. ⚽, Balerdi L. (A),
58', 0 - 4, Weah T. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
63', 1 - 4, Cho M. ⚽, Diop S. (A),
68', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
68', Moffi T. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
68', Peprah K. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
70', Kondogbia G. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
70', Gomes A. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
74', 1 - 5, Paixao I. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
77', Aubameyang P. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
77', Balerdi L. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
77', Diop S. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
89', Paixao I. ↓, Maupay N. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Marseille is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Groin Injury) Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Murillo M. (Tendon Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Abdi A. (Injury) Boudaoui H. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
09.11.25	Metz - Nice	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Nice - Freiburg	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Nice - Lille	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Rennes - Nice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
08.11.25	Olympique Marseille - Brest	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Olympique Marseille - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.25	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Olympique Marseille - Angers	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Lens - Olympique Marseille	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.01.25	Nice - Olympique Marseille	2:0
14.09.24	Olympique Marseille - Nice	2:0
24.04.24	Olympique Marseille - Nice	2:2
21.10.23	Nice - Olympique Marseille	1:0
05.02.23	Olympique Marseille - Nice	1:3
28.08.22	Nice - Olympique Marseille	0:3
20.03.22	Olympique Marseille - Nice	2:1

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