Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 8

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)


	Omiya Ardija		Osaka

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.05	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.4	3.35
	2.12	3.4	3.35
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.08	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)	3.27 ↓ (3.37)	3.26 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
44.1%

Draw
27.9%

Osaka
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

27.4%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

26.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 5. Urakami N. 26. Hamada M. 4. Ichihara R. 20. Shimoguchi W. 6. Ishikawa T. 7. Kojima M. 16. Ueda Y. 30. Arthur Silva 23. Sugimoto K. 42. Fujii K.	1. Nagai T. (G) 2. Mima K. 23. Akiyama T. 3. Saito R. 6. Tachino S. 10. Kubo R. 25. Takei S. 16. Shimozawa Y. 14. Tanaka N. 43. Nishimura M. 7. Kitsui T.
Substitutes
14. Izumi T. 34. Murakami Y. 11. Nakano S. 46. Nuki M. 49. Osawa T. 35. Shimizu Y. 50. Wakabayashi M. (G)	4. Egawa G. 34. Furukawa D. 19. Masuda S. 9. Shimada T. 13. Take H. 33. Woo S. 31. Yamada K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Kitsui T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Ueda Y. ↓, Nuki M. ↑,
61', Kitsui T. ↓, Take H. ↑,
61', Nishimura M. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
70', Fujii K. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,
70', Arthur Silva ↓, Izumi T. ↑,
72', Kubo R. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Sugimoto K. ⚽,
86', Ishikawa T. ↓, Shimizu Y. ↑,
87', Tanaka N. ↓, Masuda S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Omiya is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Osaka is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Osaka have a series of home games.

Omiya will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J3 League
31.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	3:1 ✺
20.03.24	Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Gifu - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTWW
- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
30.03.24	Osaka - Imabari	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Osaka - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
20.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Osaka	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Osaka - Gifu	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Osaka - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTTTL

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