Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: GSP Stadium (Nicosia)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Omonia		Kairat

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.60	5.75	Watch
	1.58	4.00	5.75
	1.62	3.70	5.20	Watch
	1.56	3.90	6.19
	1.65	3.88	5.31
	1.55	3.80	6.10
	1.57	3.90	6.28	Watch
	1.56	3.95	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)	3.84 ↑ (3.65)	5.85 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Omonia
59.6%

Draw
24.4%

Kairat
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

25.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

26.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.6%	12.2%	10.2%

Omonia - Kairat Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 36 - 76.6%). Kairat will win (votes: 5 - 10.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Omonia: 64.5% – 88.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Kairat (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Omonia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Omonia (votes: 6 - 75%). Kairat (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Fabiano Freitas (C) 77. Nego L. 5. Coulibaly S. 30. Panagiotou N. 29. Balkovec J. 14. Maric M. 22. Tankovic M. 74. Andreou P. 11. Ewandro 9. Kakoullis A. 7. Montnor J.	1. Anarbekov T. (G) 20. Tapalov E. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 3. Mata L. 6. Sadybekov A. 13. Oksanen J. 24. Mrynskiy A. 7. Jorginho 19. Jukkola O. 28. Gual M.
Substitutes
10. Chatzigiovanis A. 82. Christou A. 99. Diony L. 6. Eiting C. 90. Konstantinidis C. 31. Kousoulos I. 21. Mayambela M. 78. Michail P. (G) 85. Neofytou A. 92. Panagiotis C. 27. Simic S. 23. Uzoho F. (G)	8. Baybek O. 81. Bekbolat I. 15. Birkurmanov M. 30. Buch D. (G) 9. Edmilson 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 22. Mendonsa G. 32. Nurgaliev A. 25. Shirobokov A. 17. Tuyakbaev A.
Coaches
Berg H.	Urazbakhtin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Andreou P. ⚽,
34', Nego L. 🟥,
36', Tankovic M. ↓, Simic S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Montnor J. ↓, Mayambela M. ↑,
46', Sadybekov A. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
56', Edmilson 🟨,
56', Jorginho 🟨,
56', Kakoullis A. 🟨,
58', Tapalov E. ↓, Bekbolat I. ↑,
68', Jukkola O. ↓, Kurgin L. ↑,
69', Kakoullis A. ↓, Neofytou A. ↑,
77', Andreou P. ↓, Kousoulos I. ↑,
83', Mata L. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
83', Gual M. ↓, Mendonsa G. ↑,
90+7', Martynovich A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Omonia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kairat is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kairat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Omonia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Omonia is the team to beat.

We predict that Omonia will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Omonia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Including home match between the teams, Omonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Nicosia
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Omonia - Panetolikos	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Korona Kielce - Omonia	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Omonia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:2 ✺
01.07.26	Omonia - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	2:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
22.05.26	Omonia - Apollon Limassol	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTWW
- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
18.07.26	Atyrau - Kairat	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.07.26	Sutjeska - Kairat	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Kairat - Sutjeska	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
02.07.26	Kairat - Okzhetpes	5:0 ✺
27.06.26	Okzhetpes - Kairat	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.12.21	Omonia - Kairat	0:0
16.09.21	Kairat - Omonia	0:0

Upcoming Matches