Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atyrau		Kairat

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.00	3.70	1.55
	5.5	3.7	1.58	Watch
	5.93	3.85	1.58
	5.95	3.7	1.54	Watch
	5.85	3.65	1.51
	5.22	3.86	1.62	Watch
	5.4	3.65	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↓ (5.77)	3.73 ↑ (3.51)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atyrau
16.6%

Draw
24.6%

Kairat
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

26.2%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

25.5%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Atyrau - Kairat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Tkachenko Y. 78. Khvalko E. 5. Satanov S. (C) 90. Pantelic D. 8. Stanovic M. 4. Rabiu M. 71. Prce F. 14. Dorofeev K. 44. Maksimovic D. 18. Trufanov Y.	82. Kalmurza S. (G) 20. Tapalov E. 44. Lucas Africo 25. Shirobokov A. 3. Mata L. 81. Bekbolat I. 6. Sadybekov A. 28. Gual M. 7. Jorginho (C) 19. Jukkola O. 9. Edmilson
Substitutes
9. Abdulla A. 27. Berdesh N. 20. Boranshiev A. 7. Henrique 99. Kereev B. 21. Orynbasar D. 77. Pangerey M. 12. Sagat N. (G) 11. Seytkaliev A. 23. Shaykhov B. 35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 25. Zhumagali S.	1. Anarbekov T. (G) 8. Baybek O. 15. Birkurmanov M. 30. Buch D. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 22. Mendonsa G. 24. Mrynskiy A. 32. Nurgaliev A. 17. Tuyakbaev A.
Coaches
Cheburin V.	Urazbakhtin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Prce F. (Own goal),
15', 0 - 2, Edmilson ⚽, Jukkola O. (A),
24', 0 - 3, Edmilson ⚽,
37', Maksimovic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Prce F. ↓, Boranshiev A. ↑,
58', Maksimovic D. ↓, Henrique ↑,
62', Jorginho ↓, Baybek O. ↑,
62', Jukkola O. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
69', Baybek O. 🟨,
69', Gual M. ↓, Kurgin L. ↑,
69', Edmilson ↓, Birkurmanov M. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Henrique ⚽, Trufanov Y. (A),
81', Bekbolat I. ↓, Mendonsa G. ↑,
87', Dorofeev K. ↓, Orynbasar D. ↑,
87', Trufanov Y. ↓, Abdulla A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 1.

In recent matches, Atyrau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kairat is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atyrau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kairat is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atyrau won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:35. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atyrau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
15	Atyrau	25	4	11	10	18:28	-10	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Atyrau
Kazakh Premier League
05.07.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Atyrau	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Kairat - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
28.05.26	Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLWTT
- Kairat Almaty
UEFA Champions League
15.07.26	Sutjeska - Kairat	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Kairat - Sutjeska	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
02.07.26	Kairat - Okzhetpes	5:0 ✺
27.06.26	Okzhetpes - Kairat	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
13.06.26	Kairat - Atyrau	1:1
16.04.25	Kairat - Atyrau	4:0
06.04.25	Atyrau - Kairat	1:4
10.11.24	Atyrau - Kairat	0:1
Kazakh Cup
08.05.24	Atyrau - Kairat	3:1
Kazakh Premier League
04.05.24	Kairat - Atyrau	1:0
29.10.23	Atyrau - Kairat	0:0

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