Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Gradski (Nikšić)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Montenegro	TVCG 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sutjeska		Kairat

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.7	Watch
	5.00	4.20	1.61
	4.15	3.7	1.75	Watch
	4.04	4.21	1.76
	4.97	4.09	1.65	Watch
	3.8	4.15	1.75
	4.04	4.16	1.77	Watch
	4.2	4	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.5)	4.05 ↑ (3.88)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutjeska
22.2%

Draw
23.2%

Kairat
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

23.7%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

22.6%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutjeska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutjeska than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.6%	9.4%	89.1%

Sutjeska - Kairat Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kairat will win (56 of 63 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.13% – 96.65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kairat will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giljen V. (C) 2. Golubovic A. 72. Babic A. 15. Kopitovic B. 22. Raznatovic A. 20. Cadjenovic J. 6. Hocko D. 77. Simun M. 11. Cavor V. 99. Mrvaljevic M. 9. Anicic P.	1. Anarbekov T. (G) 24. Mrynskiy A. 25. Shirobokov A. 44. Lucas Africo 3. Mata L. 6. Sadybekov A. 13. Oksanen J. 81. Bekbolat I. 7. Jorginho (C) 19. Jukkola O. 28. Gual M.
Substitutes
55. Babic S. 7. Boljevic A. 3. Camara M. 8. Campbell K. 21. Cetkovic D. 44. Dedic R. 12. Durovic T. (G) 30. Kecojevic A. 5. Pajovic I. 19. Scekic A. 10. Toskovic B. 4. Vracar M.	27. Abish M. 8. Baybek O. 15. Birkurmanov M. 30. Buch D. (G) 9. Edmilson 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 32. Nurgaliev A. 20. Tapalov E. 17. Tuyakbaev A.
Coaches
Pekovic M.	Urazbakhtin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Simun M. 🟨,
29', Golubovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Anicic P. ↓, Campbell K. ↑,
56', Cavor V. ↓, Boljevic A. ↑,
57', Simun M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
65', Raznatovic A. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Bekbolat I. ⚽,
69', Bekbolat I. ↓, Tapalov E. ↑,
75', Cadjenovic J. ↓, Toskovic B. ↑,
76', Mrvaljevic M. ↓, Babic S. ↑,
79', Raznatovic A. 🟨,
80', 0 - 2, Jorginho (Penalty Awarded),
81', Jukkola O. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
87', Sadybekov A. ↓, Baybek O. ↑,
87', Mata L. ↓, Kurgin L. ↑,
87', Jorginho ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
88', Hocko D. 🟨,
89', Oksanen J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2.

Sutjeska has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kairat is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Kairat is the team to beat.

We predict that Kairat will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sutjeska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutjeska FK
UEFA Champions League
08.07.26	Kairat - Sutjeska	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.26	Sutjeska - Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	AF Elbasani - Sutjeska	Canceled ✺
23.06.26	Borac Banja Luka - Sutjeska	1:0 ✺
Montenegrin First League
24.05.26	Sutjeska - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LL?LL
- Kairat Almaty
UEFA Champions League
08.07.26	Kairat - Sutjeska	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
02.07.26	Kairat - Okzhetpes	5:0 ✺
27.06.26	Okzhetpes - Kairat	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	2:4 ✺
17.06.26	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
08.07.26	Kairat - Sutjeska	2:1

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