The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
One Knoxville 55.7%
Draw 23.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
25.4%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
22.6%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Portland Hearts of Pine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with One Knoxville that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Hearts of Pine than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
One Knoxville - Portland Hearts of Pine Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Garibay J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 4. Skelton J. 3. McRobb F. (C) 99. Uderitz B. 89. Baker T. 6. Caputo A. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 17. Goling M. 77. Rosamilia N. 7. Diene B.
1. Morse H. (G) 2. Jones-Riley J. 66. Green K. 22. Evans B. 26. Hata E. 18. Barbosa D. 8. Poon-Angeron M. (C) 7. Varela W. 16. Gonzalez D. 21. Georgallides K. 35. Huck T.
Substitutes
13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 27. Cook E. 18. Cordova H. 10. Gill R. 9. Krioutchenkov D. 23. Williams D.
9. Camara A. 44. Faye S. 24. Felipe 98. Kidd M. 70. Kunga L. 6. Mohamed M. 23. Oladapo K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Murphy B. 🟨,
25', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rosamilia N. ↓, Gill R. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽, Huck T. (A),
59', Barbosa D. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
60', Goling M. ↓, Krioutchenkov D. ↑,
69', Uderitz B. ↓, Bull ↑,
69', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
75', Georgallides K. ↓, Mohamed M. ↑,
75', Varela W. ↓, Felipe ↑,
78', McRobb F. 🟨,
83', Caputo A. ↓, Cook E. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Diene B. ⚽, Baker T. (A),
87', Diene B. 🟨,
90', Jones-Riley J. ↓, Kunga L. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
Recent form of One Knoxville has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hearts of Pine is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Hearts of Pine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, One Knoxville is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).