Match Info

USL League One

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	One Knoxville		Sarasota Paradise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.70	3.50	4.10
	1.7	3.5	4.15
	1.75	3.69	4.26
	1.75	3.77	4.27
	1.72	3.6	4.2
	1.69	3.56	4.38
	1.7	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	4.21 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
53%

Draw
25.4%

Sarasota Paradise
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.2%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

24.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

One Knoxville - Sarasota Paradise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Garibay J. (G) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. (C) 3. McRobb F. 22. Perkins W. 6. Caputo A. 89. Baker T. 19. Conway E. 10. Gill R. 9. Krioutchenkov D. 7. Diene B.	1. Sutton A. (G) 6. Stretch C. 4. Watters D. (C) 5. Sogaard A. 36. Rosa A. 8. Walker A. 11. Karani S. 46. Roed S. 7. Bryant E. 17. Bolanos J. 32. Terzaghi E.
Substitutes
13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 27. Cook E. 17. Goling M. 11. Linhares K. 5. McLeod S. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 77. Rosamilia N.	23. Amedeka R. (G) 9. Bender J. 18. Krueger B. 19. McLaughlin G. 27. O'Dwyer C. 14. Pettersen J. 3. Valentine R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Brown J. ↓, McLeod S. ↑,
46', Karani S. ↓, Bender J. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Conway E. ⚽,
61', Gill R. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
65', Sogaard A. ↓, Valentine R. ↑,
65', Roed S. ↓, Krueger B. ↑,
70', Krioutchenkov D. ↓, Goling M. ↑,
71', McLeod S. ↓, Bull ↑,
73', Terzaghi E. ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
78', Rosa A. 🟨,
81', Caputo A. 🟨,
82', Walker A. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Bryant E. ↓, O'Dwyer C. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Valentine R. ⚽, Walker A. (A),
85', Caputo A. ↓, Murphy Jr. J. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Diene B. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sarasota Paradise may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, One Knoxville is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39:43	-4	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
01.08.26	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	One Knoxville - AV Alta	2:3 ✺
15.07.26	One Knoxville - Fort Wayne	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Corpus Christi - One Knoxville	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW
- Sarasota Paradise
USL Cup
11.07.26	Sarasota Paradise - Miami	0:5 ✺
USL League One
08.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Sarasota Paradise	0:0 ✺
03.07.26	Richmond Kickers - Sarasota Paradise	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Corpus Christi - Sarasota Paradise	4:1 ✺
13.06.26	Sarasota Paradise - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
04.04.26	Sarasota Paradise - One Knoxville	1:2

Upcoming Matches